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icon for Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

icon for Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

$10,684 Vol.

Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$10,684 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30, 2026

$26 Vol.

5%

December 31, 2026

$1,323 Vol.

8%

June 30, 2027

$9,334 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Justice Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s second-longest-serving member at age 78, has shown no public signs of planning to retire and sources close to him have stated he does not intend to step down in the near term. He continues to participate actively in the Court’s work and is on track to surpass historical longevity records if he remains through 2028. Speculation about vacancies has centered more on Justice Samuel Alito, who publicly confirmed in August 2026 that he plans to serve at least another full term. With no mandatory retirement age and lifetime tenure under the Constitution, any announcement would depend on Thomas’s personal decision rather than institutional deadlines. The next Supreme Court term begins in October 2026, while November midterm elections could shift Senate dynamics relevant to future confirmations. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of recent catalysts or health disclosures that would alter this outlook.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$10,684
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Justice Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s second-longest-serving member at age 78, has shown no public signs of planning to retire and sources close to him have stated he does not intend to step down in the near term. He continues to participate actively in the Court’s work and is on track to surpass historical longevity records if he remains through 2028. Speculation about vacancies has centered more on Justice Samuel Alito, who publicly confirmed in August 2026 that he plans to serve at least another full term. With no mandatory retirement age and lifetime tenure under the Constitution, any announcement would depend on Thomas’s personal decision rather than institutional deadlines. The next Supreme Court term begins in October 2026, while November midterm elections could shift Senate dynamics relevant to future confirmations. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of recent catalysts or health disclosures that would alter this outlook.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$10,684
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "June 30, 2027" di 13%, diikuti oleh "December 31, 2026" di 8%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 13¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 13% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?" telah menghasilkan $10.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?" adalah "June 30, 2027" di 13%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 13% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "December 31, 2026" di 8%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.