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Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

icon for Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Rafael Grossi 59%

Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%

Michelle Bachelet 3.6%

Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

Polymarket

$80,086 Vol.

Rafael Grossi 59%

Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%

Michelle Bachelet 3.6%

Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

Polymarket

$80,086 Vol.

Rafael Grossi

$22,300 Vol.

59%

Rebeca Grynspan

$4,573 Vol.

45%

Michelle Bachelet

$26,540 Vol.

4%

Jacinda Ardern

$1,875 Vol.

3%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

$3,039 Vol.

2%

Kristalina Georgieva

$1,912 Vol.

1%

Bruno Donat

$2,417 Vol.

1%

Amina Mohammed

$3,899 Vol.

1%

Mia Mottley

$2,035 Vol.

<1%

Alicia Bárcena

$2,096 Vol.

<1%

Colombe Cahen-Salvador

$2,679 Vol.

22%

David Choquehuanca

$2,099 Vol.

<1%

Vuk Jeremić

$2,071 Vol.

<1%

Achim Steiner

$2,551 Vol.

29%

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads trader sentiment in the UN Secretary-General race at 45% implied probability after topping the Security Council’s first informal straw poll in late July with the most “encourage” votes among nominees. Her position as UNCTAD head and former Costa Rican vice president positions her as a continuity candidate with broad Latin American backing and minimal objections so far. Rafael Grossi’s 29.5% share reflects his strong record as IAEA director general and experience mediating conflicts like those in Ukraine and Iran, though he trails in early council soundings. Achim Steiner’s comparable 29.4% pricing highlights his UNDP leadership and development expertise amid ongoing debates over regional rotation and the push for the first female secretary-general. With the process entering its final straw-poll phase before an expected autumn conclusion, recent candidate dialogues and veto-power dynamics continue to shape these crowd-sourced probabilities.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$80,086
Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads trader sentiment in the UN Secretary-General race at 45% implied probability after topping the Security Council’s first informal straw poll in late July with the most “encourage” votes among nominees. Her position as UNCTAD head and former Costa Rican vice president positions her as a continuity candidate with broad Latin American backing and minimal objections so far. Rafael Grossi’s 29.5% share reflects his strong record as IAEA director general and experience mediating conflicts like those in Ukraine and Iran, though he trails in early council soundings. Achim Steiner’s comparable 29.4% pricing highlights his UNDP leadership and development expertise amid ongoing debates over regional rotation and the push for the first female secretary-general. With the process entering its final straw-poll phase before an expected autumn conclusion, recent candidate dialogues and veto-power dynamics continue to shape these crowd-sourced probabilities.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$80,086
Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 14 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Rebeca Grynspan" di 45%, diikuti oleh "Rafael Grossi" di 30%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 45¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" telah menghasilkan $80.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 11, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?," jelajahi 14 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" adalah "Rebeca Grynspan" di 45%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Rafael Grossi" di 30%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.