SpaceX has integrated docking ports, drogues, and propellant transfer hardware into Starship V3 vehicles, drawing on DragonEye sensors proven during dozens of ISS dockings. Recent integrated flight tests through Flight 13 in July 2026 demonstrated orbital insertion, payload deployment, and engine reliability with V3 configurations, advancing the propellant depot architecture needed for Artemis lunar missions. No ship-to-ship rendezvous has occurred yet, but NASA timelines call for Orion-Starship docking demonstrations in 2027, and SpaceX continues targeting an in-orbit tanker test as the next major milestone. Traders monitor upcoming flight manifests and regulatory approvals for rapid iteration on these capabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$59,605 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
12%
December 31, 2027
61%
$59,605 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$38,816 Vol.
12%
December 31, 2027
$20,789 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX has integrated docking ports, drogues, and propellant transfer hardware into Starship V3 vehicles, drawing on DragonEye sensors proven during dozens of ISS dockings. Recent integrated flight tests through Flight 13 in July 2026 demonstrated orbital insertion, payload deployment, and engine reliability with V3 configurations, advancing the propellant depot architecture needed for Artemis lunar missions. No ship-to-ship rendezvous has occurred yet, but NASA timelines call for Orion-Starship docking demonstrations in 2027, and SpaceX continues targeting an in-orbit tanker test as the next major milestone. Traders monitor upcoming flight manifests and regulatory approvals for rapid iteration on these capabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$59,605Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2028Pasar Dibuka
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX has integrated docking ports, drogues, and propellant transfer hardware into Starship V3 vehicles, drawing on DragonEye sensors proven during dozens of ISS dockings. Recent integrated flight tests through Flight 13 in July 2026 demonstrated orbital insertion, payload deployment, and engine reliability with V3 configurations, advancing the propellant depot architecture needed for Artemis lunar missions. No ship-to-ship rendezvous has occurred yet, but NASA timelines call for Orion-Starship docking demonstrations in 2027, and SpaceX continues targeting an in-orbit tanker test as the next major milestone. Traders monitor upcoming flight manifests and regulatory approvals for rapid iteration on these capabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$59,605Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2028Pasar Dibuka
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX has integrated docking ports, drogues, and propellant transfer hardware into Starship V3 vehicles, drawing on DragonEye sensors proven during dozens of ISS dockings. Recent integrated flight tests through Flight 13 in July 2026 demonstrated orbital insertion, payload deployment, and engine reliability with V3 configurations, advancing the propellant depot architecture needed for Artemis lunar missions. No ship-to-ship rendezvous has occurred yet, but NASA timelines call for Orion-Starship docking demonstrations in 2027, and SpaceX continues targeting an in-orbit tanker test as the next major milestone. Traders monitor upcoming flight manifests and regulatory approvals for rapid iteration on these capabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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