**The closely contested 50% implied probability for "Yes" on any TI 2026 stand-in reflects uncertainty around last-minute roster disruptions just days before the August 13 group stage in Shanghai.** International travel to China raises visa and logistical risks for non-regional squads, while recent roster shuffles—such as OG ending a loan spell, LGD integrating an overseas core, and HEROIC’s mid-season adjustments—leave limited time for full integration or contingency planning. Valve’s qualification rules emphasize locked rosters post-regionals, yet Dota 2 history shows emergencies (illness, personal issues, or eligibility problems) occasionally force substitutions even at majors. The balanced pricing captures both the low baseline likelihood of stand-ins at a high-stakes event with prepared organizations and the realistic potential for isolated incidents given the compressed timeline and cross-border participation. Confirmed full-roster arrivals or explicit Valve clarifications on eligibility could shift sentiment toward “No,” while any reported travel or health complications would favor “Yes.”
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This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team fields a stand-in (substitute) player for one or more official matches at The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The closely contested 50% implied probability for "Yes" on any TI 2026 stand-in reflects uncertainty around last-minute roster disruptions just days before the August 13 group stage in Shanghai.**
International travel to China raises visa and logistical risks for non-regional squads, while recent roster shuffles—such as OG ending a loan spell, LGD integrating an overseas core, and HEROIC’s mid-season adjustments—leave limited time for full integration or contingency planning. Valve’s qualification rules emphasize locked rosters post-regionals, yet Dota 2 history shows emergencies (illness, personal issues, or eligibility problems) occasionally force substitutions even at majors.
The balanced pricing captures both the low baseline likelihood of stand-ins at a high-stakes event with prepared organizations and the realistic potential for isolated incidents given the compressed timeline and cross-border participation. Confirmed full-roster arrivals or explicit Valve clarifications on eligibility could shift sentiment toward “No,” while any reported travel or health complications would favor “Yes.”
This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team fields a stand-in (substitute) player for one or more official matches at The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 11:50 AM ET
Volume
$0Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team fields a stand-in (substitute) player for one or more official matches at The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The closely contested 50% implied probability for "Yes" on any TI 2026 stand-in reflects uncertainty around last-minute roster disruptions just days before the August 13 group stage in Shanghai.**
International travel to China raises visa and logistical risks for non-regional squads, while recent roster shuffles—such as OG ending a loan spell, LGD integrating an overseas core, and HEROIC’s mid-season adjustments—leave limited time for full integration or contingency planning. Valve’s qualification rules emphasize locked rosters post-regionals, yet Dota 2 history shows emergencies (illness, personal issues, or eligibility problems) occasionally force substitutions even at majors.
The balanced pricing captures both the low baseline likelihood of stand-ins at a high-stakes event with prepared organizations and the realistic potential for isolated incidents given the compressed timeline and cross-border participation. Confirmed full-roster arrivals or explicit Valve clarifications on eligibility could shift sentiment toward “No,” while any reported travel or health complications would favor “Yes.”
This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team fields a stand-in (substitute) player for one or more official matches at The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The closely contested 50% implied probability for "Yes" on any TI 2026 stand-in reflects uncertainty around last-minute roster disruptions just days before the August 13 group stage in Shanghai.** International travel to China raises visa and logistical risks for non-regional squads, while recent roster shuffles—such as OG ending a loan spell, LGD integrating an overseas core, and HEROIC’s mid-season adjustments—leave limited time for full integration or contingency planning. Valve’s qualification rules emphasize locked rosters post-regionals, yet Dota 2 history shows emergencies (illness, personal issues, or eligibility problems) occasionally force substitutions even at majors. The balanced pricing captures both the low baseline likelihood of stand-ins at a high-stakes event with prepared organizations and the realistic potential for isolated incidents given the compressed timeline and cross-border participation. Confirmed full-roster arrivals or explicit Valve clarifications on eligibility could shift sentiment toward “No,” while any reported travel or health complications would favor “Yes.”
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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