Recent strong August employment data, with payrolls far exceeding forecasts, has reinforced trader focus on the S&P 500's resilience near 7,719 as of September 4, elevating implied odds of Federal Reserve rate hikes by year-end amid persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target. Corporate earnings growth, projected at 15-24% for 2026 with AI infrastructure spending driving roughly half the gains, remains the dominant positive driver, supporting analyst year-end targets clustered between 7,400 and 8,000. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where updated projections could clarify the policy path and influence equity valuations through Treasury yield movements. Market-implied probabilities reflect this balance of robust fundamentals against policy and inflation risks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$339,481 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,600
11%
↑ $8,200
32%
↑ $8,000
60%
↓ $7,400
68%
↓ $7,200
73%
↓ $7,000
36%
↓ $6,200
15%
↓ $6,000
16%
↓ $5,800
9%
↓ $5,200
7%
↓ $4,500
4%
$339,481 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$103 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$9,538 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,000
$78 Vol.
3%
↑ $8,600
$30,614 Vol.
11%
↑ $8,200
$23,745 Vol.
32%
↑ $8,000
$559 Vol.
60%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
68%
↓ $7,200
$0 Vol.
73%
↓ $7,000
$343 Vol.
36%
↓ $6,200
$52,843 Vol.
15%
↓ $6,000
$2,957 Vol.
16%
↓ $5,800
$41,770 Vol.
9%
↓ $5,200
$56,898 Vol.
7%
↓ $4,500
$59,984 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent strong August employment data, with payrolls far exceeding forecasts, has reinforced trader focus on the S&P 500's resilience near 7,719 as of September 4, elevating implied odds of Federal Reserve rate hikes by year-end amid persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target. Corporate earnings growth, projected at 15-24% for 2026 with AI infrastructure spending driving roughly half the gains, remains the dominant positive driver, supporting analyst year-end targets clustered between 7,400 and 8,000. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where updated projections could clarify the policy path and influence equity valuations through Treasury yield movements. Market-implied probabilities reflect this balance of robust fundamentals against policy and inflation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$339,481Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent strong August employment data, with payrolls far exceeding forecasts, has reinforced trader focus on the S&P 500's resilience near 7,719 as of September 4, elevating implied odds of Federal Reserve rate hikes by year-end amid persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target. Corporate earnings growth, projected at 15-24% for 2026 with AI infrastructure spending driving roughly half the gains, remains the dominant positive driver, supporting analyst year-end targets clustered between 7,400 and 8,000. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where updated projections could clarify the policy path and influence equity valuations through Treasury yield movements. Market-implied probabilities reflect this balance of robust fundamentals against policy and inflation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$339,481Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent strong August employment data, with payrolls far exceeding forecasts, has reinforced trader focus on the S&P 500's resilience near 7,719 as of September 4, elevating implied odds of Federal Reserve rate hikes by year-end amid persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target. Corporate earnings growth, projected at 15-24% for 2026 with AI infrastructure spending driving roughly half the gains, remains the dominant positive driver, supporting analyst year-end targets clustered between 7,400 and 8,000. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where updated projections could clarify the policy path and influence equity valuations through Treasury yield movements. Market-implied probabilities reflect this balance of robust fundamentals against policy and inflation risks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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