The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for Rhode Island's November 3, 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over midterm participation in a heavily Democratic state where incumbent Jack Reed holds a substantial lead over Republican Raymond McKay. With primaries set for September 9 and no high-profile national spotlight or competitive dynamics to drive mobilization, trader consensus incorporates typical factors such as historical midterm participation rates, registered voter trends, and variable enthusiasm among core Democratic and Republican blocs. Developments that could shift probabilities include stronger get-out-the-vote efforts, primary results signaling base energy, final voter registration updates, or late-cycle events affecting turnout in this low-population state.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRhode Island Senate Election: Turnout
Rhode Island Senate Election: Turnout
<250K 45%
350K-400K 45%
450K+ 45%
250K-300K 45%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
<250K
45%
250K-300K
45%
300K-350K
45%
350K-400K
45%
400K-450K
45%
450K+
45%
<250K 45%
350K-400K 45%
450K+ 45%
250K-300K 45%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
<250K
$0 Vol.
45%
250K-300K
$0 Vol.
45%
300K-350K
$0 Vol.
45%
350K-400K
$0 Vol.
45%
400K-450K
$0 Vol.
45%
450K+
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for Rhode Island's November 3, 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over midterm participation in a heavily Democratic state where incumbent Jack Reed holds a substantial lead over Republican Raymond McKay. With primaries set for September 9 and no high-profile national spotlight or competitive dynamics to drive mobilization, trader consensus incorporates typical factors such as historical midterm participation rates, registered voter trends, and variable enthusiasm among core Democratic and Republican blocs. Developments that could shift probabilities include stronger get-out-the-vote efforts, primary results signaling base energy, final voter registration updates, or late-cycle events affecting turnout in this low-population state.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for Rhode Island's November 3, 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over midterm participation in a heavily Democratic state where incumbent Jack Reed holds a substantial lead over Republican Raymond McKay. With primaries set for September 9 and no high-profile national spotlight or competitive dynamics to drive mobilization, trader consensus incorporates typical factors such as historical midterm participation rates, registered voter trends, and variable enthusiasm among core Democratic and Republican blocs. Developments that could shift probabilities include stronger get-out-the-vote efforts, primary results signaling base energy, final voter registration updates, or late-cycle events affecting turnout in this low-population state.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for Rhode Island's November 3, 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over midterm participation in a heavily Democratic state where incumbent Jack Reed holds a substantial lead over Republican Raymond McKay. With primaries set for September 9 and no high-profile national spotlight or competitive dynamics to drive mobilization, trader consensus incorporates typical factors such as historical midterm participation rates, registered voter trends, and variable enthusiasm among core Democratic and Republican blocs. Developments that could shift probabilities include stronger get-out-the-vote efforts, primary results signaling base energy, final voter registration updates, or late-cycle events affecting turnout in this low-population state.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,200,000 and 2,350,000?
45%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be less than 3,250,000?
45%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be less than 500,000?
45%
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan