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icon for Pemenang Pemilihan Presiden Peru

Pemenang Pemilihan Presiden Peru

icon for Pemenang Pemilihan Presiden Peru

Pemenang Pemilihan Presiden Peru

Keiko Fujimori 60%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 39.9%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Carlos Álvarez <1%

Polymarket

$63,993,655 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori 60%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 39.9%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Carlos Álvarez <1%

Polymarket

$63,993,655 Vol.

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$8,315,112 Vol.

60%

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$14,943,515 Vol.

40%

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$13,034,181 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$7,167,575 Vol.

<1%

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$645,994 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$252,942 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$136,391 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$266,138 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$327,092 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$5,777,902 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$206,758 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$369,848 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$143,207 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$161,253 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$472,562 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$439,432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$2,316,296 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$281,708 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$4,324,435 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$1,799,734 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$221,872 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$1,689,368 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$703,804 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori holds a 59.5% implied probability in the June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez at 39.9%, reflecting traders' assessment of her stronger position after securing first place with roughly 17% in the fragmented April first round among 35 candidates. Sánchez, a leftist congressman allied with the imprisoned former president Pedro Castillo, advanced narrowly with about 12%. Recent late-May and early-June polls show the race tightening to a statistical tie around 38-43% each amid high undecided and blank votes, underscoring polarization between conservative and left-leaning blocs. The contest follows institutional delays and disputes in the first-round count, with the runoff serving as the decisive vote under Peru's majority requirement. Other listed candidates remain at negligible probabilities consistent with their first-round elimination.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$63,993,655
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 12, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Hasil diajukan: Tidak

Disengketakan

Proposal hasil

Sengketa akhir

Final

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori holds a 59.5% implied probability in the June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez at 39.9%, reflecting traders' assessment of her stronger position after securing first place with roughly 17% in the fragmented April first round among 35 candidates. Sánchez, a leftist congressman allied with the imprisoned former president Pedro Castillo, advanced narrowly with about 12%. Recent late-May and early-June polls show the race tightening to a statistical tie around 38-43% each amid high undecided and blank votes, underscoring polarization between conservative and left-leaning blocs. The contest follows institutional delays and disputes in the first-round count, with the runoff serving as the decisive vote under Peru's majority requirement. Other listed candidates remain at negligible probabilities consistent with their first-round elimination.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$63,993,655
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 12, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Hasil diajukan: Tidak

Disengketakan

Proposal hasil

Sengketa akhir

Final

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Pemilihan Presiden Peru" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 23 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Keiko Fujimori" di 60%, diikuti oleh "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" di 40%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 60¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 60% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Pemilihan Presiden Peru" telah menghasilkan $64 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 16, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Pemilihan Presiden Peru," jelajahi 23 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Pemilihan Presiden Peru" adalah "Keiko Fujimori" di 60%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 60% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" di 40%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Pemilihan Presiden Peru" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.