Keiko Fujimori holds a 59.5% implied probability in the June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez at 39.9%, reflecting traders' assessment of her stronger position after securing first place with roughly 17% in the fragmented April first round among 35 candidates. Sánchez, a leftist congressman allied with the imprisoned former president Pedro Castillo, advanced narrowly with about 12%. Recent late-May and early-June polls show the race tightening to a statistical tie around 38-43% each amid high undecided and blank votes, underscoring polarization between conservative and left-leaning blocs. The contest follows institutional delays and disputes in the first-round count, with the runoff serving as the decisive vote under Peru's majority requirement. Other listed candidates remain at negligible probabilities consistent with their first-round elimination.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Pemilihan Presiden Peru
Keiko Fujimori 60%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 39.9%
Rafael López Aliaga <1%
Carlos Álvarez <1%
$63,993,655 Vol.
$63,993,655 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
60%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
40%

Rafael López Aliaga
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 60%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 39.9%
Rafael López Aliaga <1%
Carlos Álvarez <1%
$63,993,655 Vol.
$63,993,655 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
60%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
40%

Rafael López Aliaga
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keiko Fujimori holds a 59.5% implied probability in the June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez at 39.9%, reflecting traders' assessment of her stronger position after securing first place with roughly 17% in the fragmented April first round among 35 candidates. Sánchez, a leftist congressman allied with the imprisoned former president Pedro Castillo, advanced narrowly with about 12%. Recent late-May and early-June polls show the race tightening to a statistical tie around 38-43% each amid high undecided and blank votes, underscoring polarization between conservative and left-leaning blocs. The contest follows institutional delays and disputes in the first-round count, with the runoff serving as the decisive vote under Peru's majority requirement. Other listed candidates remain at negligible probabilities consistent with their first-round elimination.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan