Mixed reviews for Adam Wingard’s A24 action-horror film, which opened September 4 on Labor Day weekend, have anchored trader expectations for a modest domestic debut. Critics gave the $15 million production a 54% Rotten Tomatoes score and 60 on Metacritic, praising stylish gore and Adria Arjona’s lead turn while noting narrative thinness that limits breakout potential. Labor Day typically delivers soft theater traffic, and early tracking plus comparable A24 genre releases point to limited marketing lift. The 69.5% market-implied probability for a 2–3 million opening reflects this consensus, with the 30.5% chance below 2 million capturing downside risk if word-of-mouth stays muted through the holiday frame. Higher brackets remain negligible given the competitive landscape and audience fatigue for mid-budget thrillers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui"Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office
2-3m 68%
<2m 31%
3-4m <1%
5-6m <1%
$13,279 Vol.
$13,279 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<2m
31%
2-3m
68%
3-4m
1%
4-5m
<1%
5-6m
<1%
6m+
<1%
2-3m 68%
<2m 31%
3-4m <1%
5-6m <1%
$13,279 Vol.
$13,279 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<2m
$3,098 Vol.
31%
2-3m
$3,135 Vol.
68%
3-4m
$3,186 Vol.
1%
4-5m
$1,562 Vol.
<1%
5-6m
$1,424 Vol.
<1%
6m+
$874 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Mixed reviews for Adam Wingard’s A24 action-horror film, which opened September 4 on Labor Day weekend, have anchored trader expectations for a modest domestic debut. Critics gave the $15 million production a 54% Rotten Tomatoes score and 60 on Metacritic, praising stylish gore and Adria Arjona’s lead turn while noting narrative thinness that limits breakout potential. Labor Day typically delivers soft theater traffic, and early tracking plus comparable A24 genre releases point to limited marketing lift. The 69.5% market-implied probability for a 2–3 million opening reflects this consensus, with the 30.5% chance below 2 million capturing downside risk if word-of-mouth stays muted through the holiday frame. Higher brackets remain negligible given the competitive landscape and audience fatigue for mid-budget thrillers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$13,279Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Mixed reviews for Adam Wingard’s A24 action-horror film, which opened September 4 on Labor Day weekend, have anchored trader expectations for a modest domestic debut. Critics gave the $15 million production a 54% Rotten Tomatoes score and 60 on Metacritic, praising stylish gore and Adria Arjona’s lead turn while noting narrative thinness that limits breakout potential. Labor Day typically delivers soft theater traffic, and early tracking plus comparable A24 genre releases point to limited marketing lift. The 69.5% market-implied probability for a 2–3 million opening reflects this consensus, with the 30.5% chance below 2 million capturing downside risk if word-of-mouth stays muted through the holiday frame. Higher brackets remain negligible given the competitive landscape and audience fatigue for mid-budget thrillers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$13,279Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mixed reviews for Adam Wingard’s A24 action-horror film, which opened September 4 on Labor Day weekend, have anchored trader expectations for a modest domestic debut. Critics gave the $15 million production a 54% Rotten Tomatoes score and 60 on Metacritic, praising stylish gore and Adria Arjona’s lead turn while noting narrative thinness that limits breakout potential. Labor Day typically delivers soft theater traffic, and early tracking plus comparable A24 genre releases point to limited marketing lift. The 69.5% market-implied probability for a 2–3 million opening reflects this consensus, with the 30.5% chance below 2 million capturing downside risk if word-of-mouth stays muted through the holiday frame. Higher brackets remain negligible given the competitive landscape and audience fatigue for mid-budget thrillers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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