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Geopolitik·UN

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

icon for Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
Geopolitik·UN

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Rebeca Grynspan 51%

Rafael Grossi 29%

Macky Sall 4.5%

Michelle Bachelet 2.4%

Polymarket

$166,619 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan 51%

Rafael Grossi 29%

Macky Sall 4.5%

Michelle Bachelet 2.4%

Polymarket

$166,619 Vol.

icon for Rebeca Grynspan

Rebeca Grynspan

$12,471 Vol.

51%

icon for Rafael Grossi

Rafael Grossi

$23,692 Vol.

29%

icon for Macky Sall

Macky Sall

$119,536 Vol.

4%

icon for Michelle Bachelet

Michelle Bachelet

$10,919 Vol.

2%

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads the trader consensus at 50.5% due to her current role as UNCTAD Secretary-General, formal nomination by Costa Rica in March 2026, and strong performance in early "encourage" tallies and interactive dialogues with member states. Rafael Grossi follows at 28% on the strength of his IAEA directorship, Argentine nomination in late 2025, and technical expertise in nuclear non-proliferation, though his support appears more concentrated among certain Security Council members. Macky Sall and Michelle Bachelet trail as regional and high-profile alternatives amid a process that began with a joint letter in November 2025 and includes ongoing straw polls, regional consultations, and August 2026 dialogues. The implied probabilities reflect expectations around Permanent Five consensus and General Assembly endorsement before the January 2027 transition.

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$166,619
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads the trader consensus at 50.5% due to her current role as UNCTAD Secretary-General, formal nomination by Costa Rica in March 2026, and strong performance in early "encourage" tallies and interactive dialogues with member states. Rafael Grossi follows at 28% on the strength of his IAEA directorship, Argentine nomination in late 2025, and technical expertise in nuclear non-proliferation, though his support appears more concentrated among certain Security Council members. Macky Sall and Michelle Bachelet trail as regional and high-profile alternatives amid a process that began with a joint letter in November 2025 and includes ongoing straw polls, regional consultations, and August 2026 dialogues. The implied probabilities reflect expectations around Permanent Five consensus and General Assembly endorsement before the January 2027 transition.

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$166,619
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Rebeca Grynspan" di 51%, diikuti oleh "Rafael Grossi" di 29%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 51¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" telah menghasilkan $166.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 21, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" adalah "Rebeca Grynspan" di 51%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Rafael Grossi" di 29%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.