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Olahraga·Rookie

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

icon for MLB: AL Rookie of the Year
Olahraga·Rookie

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

Kevin McGonigle 84%

Munetaka Murakami 13.2%

Kazuma Okamoto 1.0%

Parker Messick <1%

Polymarket

$1,633,251 Vol.

Kevin McGonigle 84%

Munetaka Murakami 13.2%

Kazuma Okamoto 1.0%

Parker Messick <1%

Polymarket

$1,633,251 Vol.

Kevin McGonigle

$47,197 Vol.

84%

Munetaka Murakami

$60,637 Vol.

13%

Kazuma Okamoto

$229,952 Vol.

1%

Parker Messick

$1,930 Vol.

1%

Trey Yesavage

$3,376 Vol.

1%

Chase DeLauter

$4,873 Vol.

1%

Payton Tolle

$195,087 Vol.

1%

Travis Bazzana

$5,115 Vol.

1%

Spencer Jones

$38,190 Vol.

1%

Connelly Early

$71,091 Vol.

<1%

Carter Jensen

$94,357 Vol.

<1%

Walker Jenkins

$63,086 Vol.

<1%

Brice Matthews

$140,575 Vol.

<1%

Leo De Vries

$111,538 Vol.

<1%

Carson Williams

$430,068 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Lagrange

$65,673 Vol.

<1%

Max Clark

$62,753 Vol.

<1%

Tatsuya Imai

$833 Vol.

<1%

Samuel Basallo

$2,450 Vol.

<1%

Dylan Beavers

$1,464 Vol.

<1%

Colt Emerson

$2,546 Vol.

<1%

Sam Antonacci

$231 Vol.

<1%

George Lombard Jr.

$231 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin McGonigle of the Detroit Tigers has surged to an 83.5% implied probability as the AL Rookie of the Year frontrunner, driven by elite plate discipline, a .39+ OBP, and leading AL rookie WAR through over 100 games while playing premium defense at shortstop. Recent expert polls and betting markets reflect his consistent production and All-Star nod, positioning him well ahead of challengers. Munetaka Murakami of the White Sox sits at 13.2% amid a strong power surge (28 home runs) and All-Star selection but trails due to an earlier hamstring injury that limited his overall impact and consistency. Pitcher Parker Messick and others like Kazuma Okamoto remain distant at under 2% each, reflecting lower vote totals and less dominant rookie-eligible contributions through mid-August.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,633,251
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin McGonigle of the Detroit Tigers has surged to an 83.5% implied probability as the AL Rookie of the Year frontrunner, driven by elite plate discipline, a .39+ OBP, and leading AL rookie WAR through over 100 games while playing premium defense at shortstop. Recent expert polls and betting markets reflect his consistent production and All-Star nod, positioning him well ahead of challengers. Munetaka Murakami of the White Sox sits at 13.2% amid a strong power surge (28 home runs) and All-Star selection but trails due to an earlier hamstring injury that limited his overall impact and consistency. Pitcher Parker Messick and others like Kazuma Okamoto remain distant at under 2% each, reflecting lower vote totals and less dominant rookie-eligible contributions through mid-August.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,633,251
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 23 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Kevin McGonigle" di 84%, diikuti oleh "Munetaka Murakami" di 13%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 84¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 84% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" telah menghasilkan $1.6 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 26, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year," jelajahi 23 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" adalah "Kevin McGonigle" di 84%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 84% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Munetaka Murakami" di 13%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.