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icon for Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

icon for Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

8% peluang
Polymarket

$20,175 Vol.

8% peluang
Polymarket

$20,175 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Kristi Noem, who left the South Dakota governorship after 2025 to serve as Secretary of Homeland Security, faces Democratic-led articles of impeachment introduced in the House in mid-January 2026. Sponsors cite obstruction of Congress, public-trust violations, and disputes over immigration enforcement actions plus FEMA fund allocation as grounds. The effort remains almost entirely partisan, with roughly 120 Democratic co-sponsors and no Republican backing reported. In a Congress controlled by the president’s party, House passage is improbable and Senate conviction even less likely. Historical precedent shows successful removal of cabinet officers is rare absent bipartisan consensus or overwhelming evidence. These structural and political barriers underpin traders’ strong expectation that impeachment will not occur by year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$20,175
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Kristi Noem, who left the South Dakota governorship after 2025 to serve as Secretary of Homeland Security, faces Democratic-led articles of impeachment introduced in the House in mid-January 2026. Sponsors cite obstruction of Congress, public-trust violations, and disputes over immigration enforcement actions plus FEMA fund allocation as grounds. The effort remains almost entirely partisan, with roughly 120 Democratic co-sponsors and no Republican backing reported. In a Congress controlled by the president’s party, House passage is improbable and Senate conviction even less likely. Historical precedent shows successful removal of cabinet officers is rare absent bipartisan consensus or overwhelming evidence. These structural and political barriers underpin traders’ strong expectation that impeachment will not occur by year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$20,175
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 8% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 8¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 8% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $20.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 19, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?" adalah 8% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 8% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.