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icon for Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
Geopolitik·Hizbullah

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

icon for Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
Geopolitik·Hizbullah

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

$341,424 Vol.

Aug 30, 2026
Polymarket

$341,424 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31

$11,122 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces advanced to the outskirts of Nabatieh in southern Lebanon by late May 2026 during operations against Hezbollah positions beyond the Litani River, but subsequent U.S.-brokered ceasefire arrangements from April and June have emphasized phased Israeli withdrawals from occupied zones in the Nabatieh region in exchange for Lebanese army deployments and Hezbollah disarmament in pilot areas. Recent developments include intensified Israeli airstrikes on Hezbollah infrastructure near Ali al-Taher heights and surrounding villages in mid-August 2026, triggered by Hezbollah rocket and drone attacks on Israeli troops, alongside ongoing Rome talks addressing withdrawal timelines and security guarantees. These dynamics, combined with the fragile post-ceasefire framework and lack of confirmed ground incursions into the city itself, shape trader assessments of entry probabilities by any specified deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$341,424
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces advanced to the outskirts of Nabatieh in southern Lebanon by late May 2026 during operations against Hezbollah positions beyond the Litani River, but subsequent U.S.-brokered ceasefire arrangements from April and June have emphasized phased Israeli withdrawals from occupied zones in the Nabatieh region in exchange for Lebanese army deployments and Hezbollah disarmament in pilot areas. Recent developments include intensified Israeli airstrikes on Hezbollah infrastructure near Ali al-Taher heights and surrounding villages in mid-August 2026, triggered by Hezbollah rocket and drone attacks on Israeli troops, alongside ongoing Rome talks addressing withdrawal timelines and security guarantees. These dynamics, combined with the fragile post-ceasefire framework and lack of confirmed ground incursions into the city itself, shape trader assessments of entry probabilities by any specified deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$341,424
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "August 31" di 13%, diikuti oleh "May 31" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 13¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 13% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?" telah menghasilkan $341.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 28, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?" adalah "August 31" di 13%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 13% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "May 31" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.