Latest ECMWF and regional model runs for July 22 favor a modest westerly flow with partial cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 19–20°C and producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger ridging that could push readings to 21°C or higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions reduces odds of exceeding 22°C. These forecasts align with typical mid-July climatology after the late-June heatwave, with KNMI guidance and upstream Atlantic patterns reinforcing the current implied probabilities through resolution on the day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 22?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 22?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$55,593 Vol.
$55,593 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$55,593 Vol.
$55,593 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
15°C or below
$1,718 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,300 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,947 Vol.
No
18°C
$8,298 Vol.
No
19°C
$10,490 Vol.
No
20°C
$14,670 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$7,806 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,859 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,009 Vol.
No
24°C
$628 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$867 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and regional model runs for July 22 favor a modest westerly flow with partial cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 19–20°C and producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger ridging that could push readings to 21°C or higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions reduces odds of exceeding 22°C. These forecasts align with typical mid-July climatology after the late-June heatwave, with KNMI guidance and upstream Atlantic patterns reinforcing the current implied probabilities through resolution on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$55,593Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and regional model runs for July 22 favor a modest westerly flow with partial cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 19–20°C and producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger ridging that could push readings to 21°C or higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions reduces odds of exceeding 22°C. These forecasts align with typical mid-July climatology after the late-June heatwave, with KNMI guidance and upstream Atlantic patterns reinforcing the current implied probabilities through resolution on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55,593Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
Latest ECMWF and regional model runs for July 22 favor a modest westerly flow with partial cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 19–20°C and producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger ridging that could push readings to 21°C or higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions reduces odds of exceeding 22°C. These forecasts align with typical mid-July climatology after the late-June heatwave, with KNMI guidance and upstream Atlantic patterns reinforcing the current implied probabilities through resolution on the day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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