Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar holds a structural edge in Florida’s 27th district, rated R+6 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and shifted from Solid to Likely Republican amid South Florida’s evolving political environment. The new congressional map upheld for 2026 preserves a Republican tilt despite court challenges, while Salazar’s 2024 performance and fundraising position her strongly ahead of the August 18 primary. Democratic contenders Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero have shown competitiveness in early polling, narrowing the gap in some surveys, yet face an uphill path in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 76.5% Republican reflects the incumbent’s advantages and historical base rates for similar seats, tempered by the competitive dynamics that could shift with primary results or fall campaign developments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFL-27 House Election Winner
FL-27 House Election Winner
$18,775 Vol.
$18,775 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
20%
$18,775 Vol.
$18,775 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,378 Vol.
77%
Democratic Party
$9,397 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar holds a structural edge in Florida’s 27th district, rated R+6 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and shifted from Solid to Likely Republican amid South Florida’s evolving political environment. The new congressional map upheld for 2026 preserves a Republican tilt despite court challenges, while Salazar’s 2024 performance and fundraising position her strongly ahead of the August 18 primary. Democratic contenders Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero have shown competitiveness in early polling, narrowing the gap in some surveys, yet face an uphill path in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 76.5% Republican reflects the incumbent’s advantages and historical base rates for similar seats, tempered by the competitive dynamics that could shift with primary results or fall campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$18,775Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar holds a structural edge in Florida’s 27th district, rated R+6 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and shifted from Solid to Likely Republican amid South Florida’s evolving political environment. The new congressional map upheld for 2026 preserves a Republican tilt despite court challenges, while Salazar’s 2024 performance and fundraising position her strongly ahead of the August 18 primary. Democratic contenders Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero have shown competitiveness in early polling, narrowing the gap in some surveys, yet face an uphill path in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 76.5% Republican reflects the incumbent’s advantages and historical base rates for similar seats, tempered by the competitive dynamics that could shift with primary results or fall campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,775Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar holds a structural edge in Florida’s 27th district, rated R+6 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and shifted from Solid to Likely Republican amid South Florida’s evolving political environment. The new congressional map upheld for 2026 preserves a Republican tilt despite court challenges, while Salazar’s 2024 performance and fundraising position her strongly ahead of the August 18 primary. Democratic contenders Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero have shown competitiveness in early polling, narrowing the gap in some surveys, yet face an uphill path in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 76.5% Republican reflects the incumbent’s advantages and historical base rates for similar seats, tempered by the competitive dynamics that could shift with primary results or fall campaign developments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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