Kimi Antonelli enters the Spanish Grand Prix at the new Madrid circuit as the clear market leader at 34.5% implied probability, driven by his commanding championship lead and seven victories this season, including a remarkable comeback win from 19th at Monza. Mercedes’ strong power unit and overall package have delivered consistent front-running pace, though the team seeks solutions to recent handling issues seen in the Dutch Grand Prix. Lando Norris at 20.5% benefits from back-to-back wins in Hungary and Zandvoort that have narrowed the points gap, while teammate George Russell sits at 15.5% on the strength of his own strong results and Mercedes intra-team competition. Lewis Hamilton at 11% carries momentum from prior success at the traditional Barcelona layout, but the untested Madring track introduces added uncertainty for all contenders amid shifting form across McLaren, Ferrari, and Red Bull.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKimi Antonelli 35%
Lando Norris 21%
George Russell 16%
Lewis Hamilton 11%
$27,117 Vol.
$27,117 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
35%
Lando Norris
21%
George Russell
16%
Lewis Hamilton
11%
Charles Leclerc
9%
Max Verstappen
7%
Oscar Piastri
6%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Liam Lawson
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 35%
Lando Norris 21%
George Russell 16%
Lewis Hamilton 11%
$27,117 Vol.
$27,117 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
35%
Lando Norris
21%
George Russell
16%
Lewis Hamilton
11%
Charles Leclerc
9%
Max Verstappen
7%
Oscar Piastri
6%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Liam Lawson
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli enters the Spanish Grand Prix at the new Madrid circuit as the clear market leader at 34.5% implied probability, driven by his commanding championship lead and seven victories this season, including a remarkable comeback win from 19th at Monza. Mercedes’ strong power unit and overall package have delivered consistent front-running pace, though the team seeks solutions to recent handling issues seen in the Dutch Grand Prix. Lando Norris at 20.5% benefits from back-to-back wins in Hungary and Zandvoort that have narrowed the points gap, while teammate George Russell sits at 15.5% on the strength of his own strong results and Mercedes intra-team competition. Lewis Hamilton at 11% carries momentum from prior success at the traditional Barcelona layout, but the untested Madring track introduces added uncertainty for all contenders amid shifting form across McLaren, Ferrari, and Red Bull.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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