Stephen Colbert’s “The Late Show” leads trader consensus at 75% implied probability due to its status as the final season following CBS cancellation, a record nine Emmy nominations, and momentum from last year’s win in the prior talk series category. The new area-award format requires each nominee to clear a high voter-approval threshold, yet the show’s strong guild recognition, critical standing, and emotional farewell narrative position it as the clear frontrunner ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The other nominees trail as voters weigh Colbert’s swan-song appeal against Last Week Tonight’s critical depth, Kimmel’s visibility, SNL’s legacy, and The Daily Show’s consistency, with final-round voting already concluded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 8.3%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 4.5%
“The Daily Show” 2.3%
$108,247 Vol.
$108,247 Vol.
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
8%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
5%
“The Daily Show”
2%
“Saturday Night Live”
2%
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 8.3%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 4.5%
“The Daily Show” 2.3%
$108,247 Vol.
$108,247 Vol.
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
8%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
5%
“The Daily Show”
2%
“Saturday Night Live”
2%
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Stephen Colbert’s “The Late Show” leads trader consensus at 75% implied probability due to its status as the final season following CBS cancellation, a record nine Emmy nominations, and momentum from last year’s win in the prior talk series category. The new area-award format requires each nominee to clear a high voter-approval threshold, yet the show’s strong guild recognition, critical standing, and emotional farewell narrative position it as the clear frontrunner ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The other nominees trail as voters weigh Colbert’s swan-song appeal against Last Week Tonight’s critical depth, Kimmel’s visibility, SNL’s legacy, and The Daily Show’s consistency, with final-round voting already concluded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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