Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026
Olahraga·Sepak Bola

Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026

icon for Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026
Olahraga·Sepak Bola

Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026

Harry Kane 64.3%

Lamine Yamal 14.0%

Kylian Mbappé 7.4%

Rodri 6%

Polymarket

$32,657,049 Vol.

Harry Kane 64.3%

Lamine Yamal 14.0%

Kylian Mbappé 7.4%

Rodri 6%

Polymarket

$32,657,049 Vol.

Harry Kane

$3,985,675 Vol.

64%

Lamine Yamal

$2,099,194 Vol.

14%

Kylian Mbappé

$1,937,857 Vol.

7%

Rodri

$1,418,828 Vol.

6%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$1,398,071 Vol.

3%

Lionel Messi

$2,281,297 Vol.

3%

Fabian Ruiz

$1,083,297 Vol.

2%

Ousmane Dembélé

$2,146,954 Vol.

1%

Erling Haaland

$1,486,584 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$1,196,554 Vol.

<1%

Vitinha

$801,560 Vol.

<1%

Michael Olise

$1,403,516 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$1,058,734 Vol.

<1%

Vinícius Júnior

$1,068,433 Vol.

<1%

Pedri

$886,501 Vol.

<1%

Cole Palmer

$681,943 Vol.

<1%

Declan Rice

$854,946 Vol.

<1%

Julian Alvarez

$737,173 Vol.

<1%

Raphinha

$695,112 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$711,222 Vol.

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$489,013 Vol.

<1%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$473,380 Vol.

<1%

Enzo Fernandez

$75,071 Vol.

<1%

Federico Valverde

$448,093 Vol.

<1%

Desire Doue

$743,542 Vol.

<1%

Achraf Hakimi

$740,083 Vol.

<1%

Luis Diaz

$440,734 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$168,279 Vol.

<1%

Pau Cubarsi

$901,196 Vol.

<1%

Rodrygo

$96,121 Vol.

<1%

Bukayo Saka

$148,088 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or 2026 market at 64.4% implied probability after an exceptional 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he scored 61 goals across 51 appearances, secured the Bundesliga title, DFB-Pokal, and European Golden Shoe while adding six World Cup goals to help England reach the semifinals. Trader consensus reflects this combination of individual output, domestic silverware, and international impact, which has outpaced rivals. Lamine Yamal sits at 14.0% following Spain's World Cup triumph and his Barcelona contributions, while Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and others trail due to comparatively less dominant club or tournament showings. Recent post-World Cup assessments have reinforced Kane's position ahead of the October ceremony.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$32,657,049
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or 2026 market at 64.4% implied probability after an exceptional 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he scored 61 goals across 51 appearances, secured the Bundesliga title, DFB-Pokal, and European Golden Shoe while adding six World Cup goals to help England reach the semifinals. Trader consensus reflects this combination of individual output, domestic silverware, and international impact, which has outpaced rivals. Lamine Yamal sits at 14.0% following Spain's World Cup triumph and his Barcelona contributions, while Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and others trail due to comparatively less dominant club or tournament showings. Recent post-World Cup assessments have reinforced Kane's position ahead of the October ceremony.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$32,657,049
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Terkait

icon for Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

96%
icon for Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

98%
icon for Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP?

Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP?

14%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 31 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Harry Kane" di 64%, diikuti oleh "Lamine Yamal" di 14%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 64¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 64% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" telah menghasilkan $32.7 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Sep 22, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026," jelajahi 31 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" adalah "Harry Kane" di 64%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 64% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Lamine Yamal" di 14%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.