Harry Kane commands the Ballon d’Or market at 64.5% implied probability due to his record 61-goal 2025-26 campaign for Bayern Munich, where he claimed the Bundesliga Golden Boot for the third straight year, the European Golden Shoe, and helped secure the Bundesliga title plus DFB-Pokal. England’s third-place World Cup finish, capped by Kane’s six goals, further strengthened his case among voters weighing individual output against team silverware. Lamine Yamal sits at 14% after Spain’s World Cup triumph and strong Barcelona form, while Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia trail on the back of solid but less prolific seasons. Lionel Messi remains in contention at 2.7% following Inter Miami’s MLS Cup and Argentina’s final run, though Kane’s volume of goals and domestic honors have created clear separation in trader consensus heading into the October ceremony.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Ballond'Or 2026
Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026
Harry Kane 64.7%
Lamine Yamal 14.0%
Kylian Mbappé 7.4%
Rodri 6%
$32,667,288 Vol.
$32,667,288 Vol.
Harry Kane
65%
Lamine Yamal
14%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Rodri
6%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Lionel Messi
3%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 64.7%
Lamine Yamal 14.0%
Kylian Mbappé 7.4%
Rodri 6%
$32,667,288 Vol.
$32,667,288 Vol.
Harry Kane
65%
Lamine Yamal
14%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Rodri
6%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Lionel Messi
3%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane commands the Ballon d’Or market at 64.5% implied probability due to his record 61-goal 2025-26 campaign for Bayern Munich, where he claimed the Bundesliga Golden Boot for the third straight year, the European Golden Shoe, and helped secure the Bundesliga title plus DFB-Pokal. England’s third-place World Cup finish, capped by Kane’s six goals, further strengthened his case among voters weighing individual output against team silverware. Lamine Yamal sits at 14% after Spain’s World Cup triumph and strong Barcelona form, while Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia trail on the back of solid but less prolific seasons. Lionel Messi remains in contention at 2.7% following Inter Miami’s MLS Cup and Argentina’s final run, though Kane’s volume of goals and domestic honors have created clear separation in trader consensus heading into the October ceremony.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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