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Politik·Pemilu AS

AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Pemilu AS

AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Amish Shah 98.4%

Marlene Galán-Woods 3.1%

Rick McCartney <1%

Jonathan Treble <1%

Polymarket

$38,286 Vol.

Amish Shah 98.4%

Marlene Galán-Woods 3.1%

Rick McCartney <1%

Jonathan Treble <1%

Polymarket

$38,286 Vol.

Amish Shah

$19,466 Vol.

98%

Marlene Galán-Woods

$10,418 Vol.

3%

Rick McCartney

$612 Vol.

<1%

Jonathan Treble

$7,790 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight trader consensus around 44-50% for Amish Shah, Marlene Galán-Woods, Rick McCartney, and Jonathan Treble in Arizona's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary stems from a four-way contest set for July 21, 2026. Shah, a former state representative and ER physician with prior primary success, holds name recognition but faces questions over his 2024 general-election loss. Galán-Woods, a former journalist backed by the DCCC, positions herself as the stronger general-election candidate emphasizing institutional accountability. The two businessmen on the ballot add further fragmentation. A late-June debate underscored policy differences on healthcare, costs, and economic issues while leaving substantial undecided voters, limiting any single contender's edge in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$38,286
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 21, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight trader consensus around 44-50% for Amish Shah, Marlene Galán-Woods, Rick McCartney, and Jonathan Treble in Arizona's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary stems from a four-way contest set for July 21, 2026. Shah, a former state representative and ER physician with prior primary success, holds name recognition but faces questions over his 2024 general-election loss. Galán-Woods, a former journalist backed by the DCCC, positions herself as the stronger general-election candidate emphasizing institutional accountability. The two businessmen on the ballot add further fragmentation. A late-June debate underscored policy differences on healthcare, costs, and economic issues while leaving substantial undecided voters, limiting any single contender's edge in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$38,286
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 21, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Amish Shah" di 98%, diikuti oleh "Marlene Galán-Woods" di 2%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 98¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $38.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 29, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Amish Shah" di 98%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Marlene Galán-Woods" di 2%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.