Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 40% implied probability due to his proven hard-court dominance, including multiple prior titles on the surface and consistent deep runs in recent majors, though his May French Open second-round exit from cramping and illness introduces some uncertainty ahead of the hard-court swing. Carlos Alcaraz sits second at 25% on the strength of his all-surface versatility and repeated Grand Slam final appearances against Sinner, positioning the pair as the clear frontrunners in trader consensus. Novak Djokovic at 5.5% reflects his enduring big-match experience and recent semifinal showings, tempered by age-related challenges in five-set battles against the top two. Lower-priced contenders like Alexander Zverev, Daniil Medvedev, and Ben Shelton trail further due to inconsistent recent form, prior injury setbacks, and the established gap to the Sincaraz duopoly on outdoor hard courts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiJannik Sinner 52%
Carlos Alcaraz 25%
Alexander Zverev 7.5%
Novak Djokovic 3.8%
$4,311,630 Vol.
$4,311,630 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
52%
Carlos Alcaraz
25%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Ben Shelton
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Jannik Sinner 52%
Carlos Alcaraz 25%
Alexander Zverev 7.5%
Novak Djokovic 3.8%
$4,311,630 Vol.
$4,311,630 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
52%
Carlos Alcaraz
25%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Ben Shelton
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 40% implied probability due to his proven hard-court dominance, including multiple prior titles on the surface and consistent deep runs in recent majors, though his May French Open second-round exit from cramping and illness introduces some uncertainty ahead of the hard-court swing. Carlos Alcaraz sits second at 25% on the strength of his all-surface versatility and repeated Grand Slam final appearances against Sinner, positioning the pair as the clear frontrunners in trader consensus. Novak Djokovic at 5.5% reflects his enduring big-match experience and recent semifinal showings, tempered by age-related challenges in five-set battles against the top two. Lower-priced contenders like Alexander Zverev, Daniil Medvedev, and Ben Shelton trail further due to inconsistent recent form, prior injury setbacks, and the established gap to the Sincaraz duopoly on outdoor hard courts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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