Traders have priced "No" at 98% because the short window to the end of 2026 offers no verifiable signs, public statements, or cultural momentum suggesting an imminent return of Jesus Christ. Historical patterns of apocalyptic predictions in popular media and religious discourse have repeatedly failed to materialize on tight timelines, reinforcing the market's strong consensus. With the resolution date rapidly approaching, any shift would require an unprecedented, widely confirmed global event that aligns with specific scriptural criteria—an outcome traders view as extraordinarily unlikely given the current absence of such developments.