Democrats currently hold a narrow 52% implied probability of finishing with more governorships after the 2026 midterms, ahead of Republicans at 34% and a tie at 14.5%, reflecting trader assessments of an evenly balanced map. Republicans enter with 26 seats to Democrats’ 24, and 18 governorships per party face voters in November. Historical midterm patterns under a Republican president have typically favored the opposition party’s gains, while recent primary results and rating shifts have strengthened Democratic positioning in competitive states such as Wisconsin and Michigan. Democrats defend five seats in states won by the opposing ticket in the prior presidential contest, offset by Republican vulnerabilities in two states carried by the other side. Cook Political Report and similar nonpartisan assessments show a modest edge in solid Democratic holds among contested races, supporting the current market ordering without guaranteeing the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाडेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी 52%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी 34%
बराबरी 15%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
34%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
52%
बराबरी
15%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी 52%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी 34%
बराबरी 15%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$3 वॉल्यूम
34%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$29 वॉल्यूम
52%
बराबरी
$27 वॉल्यूम
15%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Democrats currently hold a narrow 52% implied probability of finishing with more governorships after the 2026 midterms, ahead of Republicans at 34% and a tie at 14.5%, reflecting trader assessments of an evenly balanced map. Republicans enter with 26 seats to Democrats’ 24, and 18 governorships per party face voters in November. Historical midterm patterns under a Republican president have typically favored the opposition party’s gains, while recent primary results and rating shifts have strengthened Democratic positioning in competitive states such as Wisconsin and Michigan. Democrats defend five seats in states won by the opposing ticket in the prior presidential contest, offset by Republican vulnerabilities in two states carried by the other side. Cook Political Report and similar nonpartisan assessments show a modest edge in solid Democratic holds among contested races, supporting the current market ordering without guaranteeing the outcome.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 18, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$58समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 18, 2026, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Democrats currently hold a narrow 52% implied probability of finishing with more governorships after the 2026 midterms, ahead of Republicans at 34% and a tie at 14.5%, reflecting trader assessments of an evenly balanced map. Republicans enter with 26 seats to Democrats’ 24, and 18 governorships per party face voters in November. Historical midterm patterns under a Republican president have typically favored the opposition party’s gains, while recent primary results and rating shifts have strengthened Democratic positioning in competitive states such as Wisconsin and Michigan. Democrats defend five seats in states won by the opposing ticket in the prior presidential contest, offset by Republican vulnerabilities in two states carried by the other side. Cook Political Report and similar nonpartisan assessments show a modest edge in solid Democratic holds among contested races, supporting the current market ordering without guaranteeing the outcome.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$58समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 18, 2026, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Democrats currently hold a narrow 52% implied probability of finishing with more governorships after the 2026 midterms, ahead of Republicans at 34% and a tie at 14.5%, reflecting trader assessments of an evenly balanced map. Republicans enter with 26 seats to Democrats’ 24, and 18 governorships per party face voters in November. Historical midterm patterns under a Republican president have typically favored the opposition party’s gains, while recent primary results and rating shifts have strengthened Democratic positioning in competitive states such as Wisconsin and Michigan. Democrats defend five seats in states won by the opposing ticket in the prior presidential contest, offset by Republican vulnerabilities in two states carried by the other side. Cook Political Report and similar nonpartisan assessments show a modest edge in solid Democratic holds among contested races, supporting the current market ordering without guaranteeing the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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