Aurelien Tchouameni’s new five-year contract extension with Real Madrid until 2031, confirmed in early July 2026, underpins the 96.2% implied probability he remains at the Bernabeu. The France international has repeatedly stated his commitment to the project, and Madrid have shown no urgency to sell a key defensive midfielder who anchors their midfield alongside established starters. Recent transfer speculation linking him to Manchester United or others stemmed from Madrid’s pursuit of Rodri and possible squad reshaping, yet the extension closed those avenues and shifted trader consensus sharply toward retention. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a late-season injury or performance dip prompting a change of heart, or an extraordinary offer exceeding €100 million that aligns with Madrid’s financial plans for other targets before the window closes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाReal Madrid 96.2%
Manchester City 2.2%
Arsenal 1.1%
Paris Saint-Germain <1%
$63,006 वॉल्यूम
$63,006 वॉल्यूम
2 सित, 2026
Liverpool
<1%
Arsenal
1%
Paris Saint-Germain
<1%
Bayern Munich
<1%
Manchester City
2%
Real Madrid
96%
Real Madrid 96.2%
Manchester City 2.2%
Arsenal 1.1%
Paris Saint-Germain <1%
$63,006 वॉल्यूम
$63,006 वॉल्यूम
2 सित, 2026
Liverpool
$852 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Arsenal
$1,226 वॉल्यूम
1%
Paris Saint-Germain
$1,563 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Bayern Munich
$2,005 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Manchester City
$941 वॉल्यूम
2%
Real Madrid
$56,419 वॉल्यूम
96%
This market will resolve to the next team Aurelien Tchouameni officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Aurelien Tchouameni does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid".
If Aurelien Tchouameni joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Aurelien Tchouameni is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Real Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.Aurelien Tchouameni’s new five-year contract extension with Real Madrid until 2031, confirmed in early July 2026, underpins the 96.2% implied probability he remains at the Bernabeu. The France international has repeatedly stated his commitment to the project, and Madrid have shown no urgency to sell a key defensive midfielder who anchors their midfield alongside established starters. Recent transfer speculation linking him to Manchester United or others stemmed from Madrid’s pursuit of Rodri and possible squad reshaping, yet the extension closed those avenues and shifted trader consensus sharply toward retention. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a late-season injury or performance dip prompting a change of heart, or an extraordinary offer exceeding €100 million that aligns with Madrid’s financial plans for other targets before the window closes.
This market will resolve to the next team Aurelien Tchouameni officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Aurelien Tchouameni does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid".
If Aurelien Tchouameni joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Aurelien Tchouameni is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Real Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
If Aurelien Tchouameni does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid".
If Aurelien Tchouameni joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Aurelien Tchouameni is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Real Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 15, 2026, 11:40 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$63,006बाज़ार खुला
Jun 15, 2026, 11:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next team Aurelien Tchouameni officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Aurelien Tchouameni does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid".
If Aurelien Tchouameni joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Aurelien Tchouameni is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Real Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.Aurelien Tchouameni’s new five-year contract extension with Real Madrid until 2031, confirmed in early July 2026, underpins the 96.2% implied probability he remains at the Bernabeu. The France international has repeatedly stated his commitment to the project, and Madrid have shown no urgency to sell a key defensive midfielder who anchors their midfield alongside established starters. Recent transfer speculation linking him to Manchester United or others stemmed from Madrid’s pursuit of Rodri and possible squad reshaping, yet the extension closed those avenues and shifted trader consensus sharply toward retention. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a late-season injury or performance dip prompting a change of heart, or an extraordinary offer exceeding €100 million that aligns with Madrid’s financial plans for other targets before the window closes.
This market will resolve to the next team Aurelien Tchouameni officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Aurelien Tchouameni does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid".
If Aurelien Tchouameni joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Aurelien Tchouameni is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Real Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
If Aurelien Tchouameni does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid".
If Aurelien Tchouameni joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Aurelien Tchouameni is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Real Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
वॉल्यूम
$63,006बाज़ार खुला
Jun 15, 2026, 11:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Aurelien Tchouameni’s new five-year contract extension with Real Madrid until 2031, confirmed in early July 2026, underpins the 96.2% implied probability he remains at the Bernabeu. The France international has repeatedly stated his commitment to the project, and Madrid have shown no urgency to sell a key defensive midfielder who anchors their midfield alongside established starters. Recent transfer speculation linking him to Manchester United or others stemmed from Madrid’s pursuit of Rodri and possible squad reshaping, yet the extension closed those avenues and shifted trader consensus sharply toward retention. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a late-season injury or performance dip prompting a change of heart, or an extraordinary offer exceeding €100 million that aligns with Madrid’s financial plans for other targets before the window closes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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