The recent Electoral Court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by the top two candidates has reset the contest, creating a fresh field of contenders including independents and nominees from FAST and HRPP. This procedural reset, combined with Samoa's party-hopping rules and fragmented local support across villages, has kept probabilities evenly matched across listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over nomination timelines, campaign focus on constituency infrastructure and cost-of-living concerns, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the next poll. Scheduled candidate confirmations and any late endorsements could shift alignments before voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयापुआलाटामाई तुपुओला मालेउलु फिलेमोनी 93%
सूइआलो लेमीगाओइतामालिई सूइआलो 89%
नोनू लेमाउगा लाउलू विलियम मौइआ 84%
वायोफुआयुपोलु क्रिस फाओफो 84%
नया
नया
18 सित, 2026
पुआलाटामाई तुपुओला मालेउलु फिलेमोनी
93%
सूइआलो लेमीगाओइतामालिई सूइआलो
89%
नोनू लेमाउगा लाउलू विलियम मौइआ
84%
वायोफुआयुपोलु क्रिस फाओफो
84%
पुआलाटामाई तुपुओला मालेउलु फिलेमोनी 93%
सूइआलो लेमीगाओइतामालिई सूइआलो 89%
नोनू लेमाउगा लाउलू विलियम मौइआ 84%
वायोफुआयुपोलु क्रिस फाओफो 84%
नया
नया
18 सित, 2026
पुआलाटामाई तुपुओला मालेउलु फिलेमोनी
$0 वॉल्यूम
93%
सूइआलो लेमीगाओइतामालिई सूइआलो
$0 वॉल्यूम
89%
नोनू लेमाउगा लाउलू विलियम मौइआ
$0 वॉल्यूम
84%
वायोफुआयुपोलु क्रिस फाओफो
$0 वॉल्यूम
84%
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The recent Electoral Court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by the top two candidates has reset the contest, creating a fresh field of contenders including independents and nominees from FAST and HRPP. This procedural reset, combined with Samoa's party-hopping rules and fragmented local support across villages, has kept probabilities evenly matched across listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over nomination timelines, campaign focus on constituency infrastructure and cost-of-living concerns, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the next poll. Scheduled candidate confirmations and any late endorsements could shift alignments before voting.
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
18 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The recent Electoral Court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by the top two candidates has reset the contest, creating a fresh field of contenders including independents and nominees from FAST and HRPP. This procedural reset, combined with Samoa's party-hopping rules and fragmented local support across villages, has kept probabilities evenly matched across listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over nomination timelines, campaign focus on constituency infrastructure and cost-of-living concerns, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the next poll. Scheduled candidate confirmations and any late endorsements could shift alignments before voting.
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
18 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The recent Electoral Court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by the top two candidates has reset the contest, creating a fresh field of contenders including independents and nominees from FAST and HRPP. This procedural reset, combined with Samoa's party-hopping rules and fragmented local support across villages, has kept probabilities evenly matched across listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over nomination timelines, campaign focus on constituency infrastructure and cost-of-living concerns, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the next poll. Scheduled candidate confirmations and any late endorsements could shift alignments before voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासंबंधित
क्या औसेउगालेलेई उइटी लगावाले फलेअलिली 1 उपचुनाव जीतेंगे?
50%
हाँ
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
62%
क्या अपविएनोताइस सराक्स्त्स (एएस) 2026 लातवियाई संसदीय चुनाव में सबसे ज़्यादा सीटें जीतेगा?
75%
हाँ
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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