President Donald Trump’s October 2025 social media directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with other nations briefly raised the prospect of ending the voluntary moratorium in place since 1992. Subsequent statements from administration officials and the National Nuclear Security Administration clarified that the comments likely referred to subcritical experiments, delivery system tests, or stockpile stewardship activities rather than full-yield explosive detonations. Annual assessments by the national labs and U.S. Strategic Command continue to certify the existing arsenal as safe and effective without explosive testing, while Congress maintains the legal framework that would require a presidential decision and notification to lift the prohibition. The Nevada National Security Site retains test readiness infrastructure, yet no schedule for an underground explosive test has been announced, and international diplomatic and verification considerations remain significant constraints.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिका द्वारा परमाणु परीक्षण...?
अमेरिका द्वारा परमाणु परीक्षण...?
$668,887 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
30 जून, 2026
1%
30 सितंबर, 2026
5%
31 दिसंबर, 2026
8%
$668,887 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
$41,041 वॉल्यूम
1%
30 सितंबर, 2026
$7,044 वॉल्यूम
5%
31 दिसंबर, 2026
$10,584 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump’s October 2025 social media directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with other nations briefly raised the prospect of ending the voluntary moratorium in place since 1992. Subsequent statements from administration officials and the National Nuclear Security Administration clarified that the comments likely referred to subcritical experiments, delivery system tests, or stockpile stewardship activities rather than full-yield explosive detonations. Annual assessments by the national labs and U.S. Strategic Command continue to certify the existing arsenal as safe and effective without explosive testing, while Congress maintains the legal framework that would require a presidential decision and notification to lift the prohibition. The Nevada National Security Site retains test readiness infrastructure, yet no schedule for an underground explosive test has been announced, and international diplomatic and verification considerations remain significant constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$668,887समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump’s October 2025 social media directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with other nations briefly raised the prospect of ending the voluntary moratorium in place since 1992. Subsequent statements from administration officials and the National Nuclear Security Administration clarified that the comments likely referred to subcritical experiments, delivery system tests, or stockpile stewardship activities rather than full-yield explosive detonations. Annual assessments by the national labs and U.S. Strategic Command continue to certify the existing arsenal as safe and effective without explosive testing, while Congress maintains the legal framework that would require a presidential decision and notification to lift the prohibition. The Nevada National Security Site retains test readiness infrastructure, yet no schedule for an underground explosive test has been announced, and international diplomatic and verification considerations remain significant constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$668,887समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s October 2025 social media directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with other nations briefly raised the prospect of ending the voluntary moratorium in place since 1992. Subsequent statements from administration officials and the National Nuclear Security Administration clarified that the comments likely referred to subcritical experiments, delivery system tests, or stockpile stewardship activities rather than full-yield explosive detonations. Annual assessments by the national labs and U.S. Strategic Command continue to certify the existing arsenal as safe and effective without explosive testing, while Congress maintains the legal framework that would require a presidential decision and notification to lift the prohibition. The Nevada National Security Site retains test readiness infrastructure, yet no schedule for an underground explosive test has been announced, and international diplomatic and verification considerations remain significant constraints.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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