No vacancy has occurred on the U.S. Supreme Court through mid-August 2026, despite ongoing speculation focused on the ages of Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito. Neither justice has announced retirement plans or shown public signs of stepping down, and liberal members of the Court face even lower expectations of departure. Recent reporting confirms the absence of openings, with any potential changes likely tied to end-of-term timing or health developments that have not materialized. Senate leaders have signaled readiness to act on confirmations if needed before the November midterms, but the lack of concrete movement sustains trader consensus favoring no vacancy for the full calendar year.