South Carolina's crowded Republican primary on August 11 to fill the late Sen. Lindsey Graham's seat features a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner. Recent candidate filings by Reps. Ralph Norman and Russell Fry, interim Sen. Darline Graham Nordone's campaign launch, and Mark Sanford's entry have split conservative voters, endorsements, and name recognition across the state. Polling shows Norman with a modest edge but high undecideds, keeping second-place odds tightly bunched among the top half-dozen contenders. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with vote-splitting dynamics and limited time for separation before the first-round vote. Potential catalysts include late endorsements, regional turnout differences, or any final-week shifts in messaging on fiscal and Trump-aligned priorities that could consolidate support behind one challenger.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाराल्फ नॉर्मन 50%
डार्लिन ग्राहम नॉर्डोन 37%
रसेल फ्राई 9%
मार्क लिंच 7%
नया
नया
11 अग, 2026
राल्फ नॉर्मन
50%
डार्लिन ग्राहम नॉर्डोन
37%
रसेल फ्राई
9%
मार्क लिंच
7%
मार्क सैन्फोर्ड
3%
हेनरी मैकमास्टर
3%
शेरि बिग्स
2%
पामेला ईवेट
2%
ड्यूक बक्नर
1%
ट्रे गौडी
1%
राल्फ नॉर्मन 50%
डार्लिन ग्राहम नॉर्डोन 37%
रसेल फ्राई 9%
मार्क लिंच 7%
नया
नया
11 अग, 2026
राल्फ नॉर्मन
$1,892 वॉल्यूम
50%
डार्लिन ग्राहम नॉर्डोन
$1,831 वॉल्यूम
37%
रसेल फ्राई
$449 वॉल्यूम
9%
मार्क लिंच
$2,594 वॉल्यूम
7%
मार्क सैन्फोर्ड
$184 वॉल्यूम
3%
हेनरी मैकमास्टर
$247 वॉल्यूम
3%
शेरि बिग्स
$298 वॉल्यूम
2%
पामेला ईवेट
$251 वॉल्यूम
2%
ड्यूक बक्नर
$571 वॉल्यूम
1%
ट्रे गौडी
$284 वॉल्यूम
1%
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
South Carolina's crowded Republican primary on August 11 to fill the late Sen. Lindsey Graham's seat features a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner. Recent candidate filings by Reps. Ralph Norman and Russell Fry, interim Sen. Darline Graham Nordone's campaign launch, and Mark Sanford's entry have split conservative voters, endorsements, and name recognition across the state. Polling shows Norman with a modest edge but high undecideds, keeping second-place odds tightly bunched among the top half-dozen contenders. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with vote-splitting dynamics and limited time for separation before the first-round vote. Potential catalysts include late endorsements, regional turnout differences, or any final-week shifts in messaging on fiscal and Trump-aligned priorities that could consolidate support behind one challenger.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,601समाप्ति तिथि
11 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
South Carolina's crowded Republican primary on August 11 to fill the late Sen. Lindsey Graham's seat features a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner. Recent candidate filings by Reps. Ralph Norman and Russell Fry, interim Sen. Darline Graham Nordone's campaign launch, and Mark Sanford's entry have split conservative voters, endorsements, and name recognition across the state. Polling shows Norman with a modest edge but high undecideds, keeping second-place odds tightly bunched among the top half-dozen contenders. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with vote-splitting dynamics and limited time for separation before the first-round vote. Potential catalysts include late endorsements, regional turnout differences, or any final-week shifts in messaging on fiscal and Trump-aligned priorities that could consolidate support behind one challenger.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$8,601समाप्ति तिथि
11 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Carolina's crowded Republican primary on August 11 to fill the late Sen. Lindsey Graham's seat features a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner. Recent candidate filings by Reps. Ralph Norman and Russell Fry, interim Sen. Darline Graham Nordone's campaign launch, and Mark Sanford's entry have split conservative voters, endorsements, and name recognition across the state. Polling shows Norman with a modest edge but high undecideds, keeping second-place odds tightly bunched among the top half-dozen contenders. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with vote-splitting dynamics and limited time for separation before the first-round vote. Potential catalysts include late endorsements, regional turnout differences, or any final-week shifts in messaging on fiscal and Trump-aligned priorities that could consolidate support behind one challenger.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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