Recent polling from Russian state-affiliated firms shows A Just Russia hovering near the 5% proportional representation threshold ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote. VTsIOM places the party at 4–6% in late August and early September surveys, labeling its position unstable, while FOM reports 6–7% in fieldwork from early September. The party, led by Sergey Mironov, has positioned its list around veteran support and patriotic themes following its 2025 name reversion and July 2026 congress. Exclusion of Yabloko from the party-list ballot and competition from New People for protest or niche votes add volatility. Single-member constituency results and any administrative adjustments could influence the final tally under the mixed electoral system. Trader pricing at 57.5% for clearing the threshold reflects this polling uncertainty and the managed nature of Russia's party system.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
53% संभावना
नया
नया
20 सित, 2026
हाँ
53% संभावना
नया
नया
20 सित, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Recent polling from Russian state-affiliated firms shows A Just Russia hovering near the 5% proportional representation threshold ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote. VTsIOM places the party at 4–6% in late August and early September surveys, labeling its position unstable, while FOM reports 6–7% in fieldwork from early September. The party, led by Sergey Mironov, has positioned its list around veteran support and patriotic themes following its 2025 name reversion and July 2026 congress. Exclusion of Yabloko from the party-list ballot and competition from New People for protest or niche votes add volatility. Single-member constituency results and any administrative adjustments could influence the final tally under the mixed electoral system. Trader pricing at 57.5% for clearing the threshold reflects this polling uncertainty and the managed nature of Russia's party system.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 14, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 14, 2026, 5:12 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Recent polling from Russian state-affiliated firms shows A Just Russia hovering near the 5% proportional representation threshold ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote. VTsIOM places the party at 4–6% in late August and early September surveys, labeling its position unstable, while FOM reports 6–7% in fieldwork from early September. The party, led by Sergey Mironov, has positioned its list around veteran support and patriotic themes following its 2025 name reversion and July 2026 congress. Exclusion of Yabloko from the party-list ballot and competition from New People for protest or niche votes add volatility. Single-member constituency results and any administrative adjustments could influence the final tally under the mixed electoral system. Trader pricing at 57.5% for clearing the threshold reflects this polling uncertainty and the managed nature of Russia's party system.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 14, 2026, 5:12 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent polling from Russian state-affiliated firms shows A Just Russia hovering near the 5% proportional representation threshold ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote. VTsIOM places the party at 4–6% in late August and early September surveys, labeling its position unstable, while FOM reports 6–7% in fieldwork from early September. The party, led by Sergey Mironov, has positioned its list around veteran support and patriotic themes following its 2025 name reversion and July 2026 congress. Exclusion of Yabloko from the party-list ballot and competition from New People for protest or niche votes add volatility. Single-member constituency results and any administrative adjustments could influence the final tally under the mixed electoral system. Trader pricing at 57.5% for clearing the threshold reflects this polling uncertainty and the managed nature of Russia's party system.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न