**The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s October 28 interim Monetary Policy Review is priced by traders for no change in the Official Cash Rate at 71%, with a 28.5% chance of a 25 basis point hike.** This reflects the central bank’s decision to pause after consecutive 25 bp increases in July and September that lifted the OCR to 2.75%, allowing time to gauge the effects of tighter policy amid elevated headline inflation. June-quarter CPI reached 4.1% due to Middle East-driven fuel prices, yet core measures remain within the 1-3% target band and inflation expectations are anchored near 2%. The economy shows uneven recovery with unemployment at 5.6% in the June quarter. Assistant Governor Karen Silk’s early-September comments reinforced expectations of a December move rather than October action, aligning with market-implied odds that favor a data-dependent hold before the full December Monetary Policy Statement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNo change 71%
25 bps increase 29%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$38,444 वॉल्यूम
$38,444 वॉल्यूम
27 अक्टू, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
71%
25 bps increase
29%
50+ bps increase
<1%
No change 71%
25 bps increase 29%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$38,444 वॉल्यूम
$38,444 वॉल्यूम
27 अक्टू, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$3,782 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25 bps decrease
$3,425 वॉल्यूम
<1%
No change
$16,009 वॉल्यूम
71%
25 bps increase
$11,851 वॉल्यूम
29%
50+ bps increase
$3,376 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.
If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s October 28 interim Monetary Policy Review is priced by traders for no change in the Official Cash Rate at 71%, with a 28.5% chance of a 25 basis point hike.** This reflects the central bank’s decision to pause after consecutive 25 bp increases in July and September that lifted the OCR to 2.75%, allowing time to gauge the effects of tighter policy amid elevated headline inflation. June-quarter CPI reached 4.1% due to Middle East-driven fuel prices, yet core measures remain within the 1-3% target band and inflation expectations are anchored near 2%. The economy shows uneven recovery with unemployment at 5.6% in the June quarter. Assistant Governor Karen Silk’s early-September comments reinforced expectations of a December move rather than October action, aligning with market-implied odds that favor a data-dependent hold before the full December Monetary Policy Statement.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.
If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.
If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$38,444समाप्ति तिथि
28 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 6:38 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.
If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s October 28 interim Monetary Policy Review is priced by traders for no change in the Official Cash Rate at 71%, with a 28.5% chance of a 25 basis point hike.** This reflects the central bank’s decision to pause after consecutive 25 bp increases in July and September that lifted the OCR to 2.75%, allowing time to gauge the effects of tighter policy amid elevated headline inflation. June-quarter CPI reached 4.1% due to Middle East-driven fuel prices, yet core measures remain within the 1-3% target band and inflation expectations are anchored near 2%. The economy shows uneven recovery with unemployment at 5.6% in the June quarter. Assistant Governor Karen Silk’s early-September comments reinforced expectations of a December move rather than October action, aligning with market-implied odds that favor a data-dependent hold before the full December Monetary Policy Statement.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.
If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.
If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$38,444समाप्ति तिथि
28 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 6:38 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s October 28 interim Monetary Policy Review is priced by traders for no change in the Official Cash Rate at 71%, with a 28.5% chance of a 25 basis point hike.** This reflects the central bank’s decision to pause after consecutive 25 bp increases in July and September that lifted the OCR to 2.75%, allowing time to gauge the effects of tighter policy amid elevated headline inflation. June-quarter CPI reached 4.1% due to Middle East-driven fuel prices, yet core measures remain within the 1-3% target band and inflation expectations are anchored near 2%. The economy shows uneven recovery with unemployment at 5.6% in the June quarter. Assistant Governor Karen Silk’s early-September comments reinforced expectations of a December move rather than October action, aligning with market-implied odds that favor a data-dependent hold before the full December Monetary Policy Statement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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