Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured renomination in May 2026 with over 80 percent of the primary vote, while Republican Patti Adair emerged from her party's contest to challenge in the November general election. The district's D+4 partisan voting index and Cook Political Report's "Likely Democratic" rating reflect structural advantages for the incumbent, including established fundraising totals exceeding $3 million and a base in Portland suburbs and Bend. Traders price Democratic victory above 90 percent due to these factors and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. A Republican upset would require substantial national tailwinds, unusually high turnout in GOP-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or late polling swings capable of overcoming the current margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOR-05 House Election Winner
OR-05 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$884 वॉल्यूम
92%
Republican Party
$4,137 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured renomination in May 2026 with over 80 percent of the primary vote, while Republican Patti Adair emerged from her party's contest to challenge in the November general election. The district's D+4 partisan voting index and Cook Political Report's "Likely Democratic" rating reflect structural advantages for the incumbent, including established fundraising totals exceeding $3 million and a base in Portland suburbs and Bend. Traders price Democratic victory above 90 percent due to these factors and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. A Republican upset would require substantial national tailwinds, unusually high turnout in GOP-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or late polling swings capable of overcoming the current margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,021समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured renomination in May 2026 with over 80 percent of the primary vote, while Republican Patti Adair emerged from her party's contest to challenge in the November general election. The district's D+4 partisan voting index and Cook Political Report's "Likely Democratic" rating reflect structural advantages for the incumbent, including established fundraising totals exceeding $3 million and a base in Portland suburbs and Bend. Traders price Democratic victory above 90 percent due to these factors and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. A Republican upset would require substantial national tailwinds, unusually high turnout in GOP-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or late polling swings capable of overcoming the current margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$5,021समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured renomination in May 2026 with over 80 percent of the primary vote, while Republican Patti Adair emerged from her party's contest to challenge in the November general election. The district's D+4 partisan voting index and Cook Political Report's "Likely Democratic" rating reflect structural advantages for the incumbent, including established fundraising totals exceeding $3 million and a base in Portland suburbs and Bend. Traders price Democratic victory above 90 percent due to these factors and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. A Republican upset would require substantial national tailwinds, unusually high turnout in GOP-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or late polling swings capable of overcoming the current margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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