The tightening race ahead of the September 8 primary drives market pricing, with recent University of New Hampshire polling showing Chris Pappas leading Karishma Manzur 47% to 34% among likely Democratic voters, a narrower gap than earlier surveys. Pappas benefits from broad establishment endorsements and moderate voter support, while Manzur gains among younger and progressive blocs through grassroots and ideological appeals. This dynamic, combined with substantial undecided voters and the short remaining window, leaves the exact margin of victory uncertain, positioning a range of outcomes—including scenarios outside listed Pappas bands—as the consensus view among traders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयापाप्पास 30–35% 58%
पप्पास 0–5% 22%
पाप्स 15–20% 21%
पप्पास 10–15% 20%
नया
नया
8 सित, 2026
पैपस 40%+
5%
पैपस 35–40%
4%
पाप्पास 30–35%
58%
पप्पास 25–30%
10%
पप्पास 20–25%
19%
पाप्स 15–20%
21%
पप्पास 10–15%
20%
पप्पास 5–10%
13%
पप्पास 0–5%
22%
मंज़ूर 0–5%
2%
मंज़ूर 5%+
<1%
पाप्पास 30–35% 58%
पप्पास 0–5% 22%
पाप्स 15–20% 21%
पप्पास 10–15% 20%
नया
नया
8 सित, 2026
पैपस 40%+
$1,261 वॉल्यूम
5%
पैपस 35–40%
$78 वॉल्यूम
4%
पाप्पास 30–35%
$34 वॉल्यूम
58%
पप्पास 25–30%
$163 वॉल्यूम
10%
पप्पास 20–25%
$285 वॉल्यूम
19%
पाप्स 15–20%
$253 वॉल्यूम
21%
पप्पास 10–15%
$300 वॉल्यूम
20%
पप्पास 5–10%
$128 वॉल्यूम
13%
पप्पास 0–5%
$285 वॉल्यूम
22%
मंज़ूर 0–5%
$195 वॉल्यूम
2%
मंज़ूर 5%+
$165 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.The tightening race ahead of the September 8 primary drives market pricing, with recent University of New Hampshire polling showing Chris Pappas leading Karishma Manzur 47% to 34% among likely Democratic voters, a narrower gap than earlier surveys. Pappas benefits from broad establishment endorsements and moderate voter support, while Manzur gains among younger and progressive blocs through grassroots and ideological appeals. This dynamic, combined with substantial undecided voters and the short remaining window, leaves the exact margin of victory uncertain, positioning a range of outcomes—including scenarios outside listed Pappas bands—as the consensus view among traders.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,148समाप्ति तिथि
8 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.The tightening race ahead of the September 8 primary drives market pricing, with recent University of New Hampshire polling showing Chris Pappas leading Karishma Manzur 47% to 34% among likely Democratic voters, a narrower gap than earlier surveys. Pappas benefits from broad establishment endorsements and moderate voter support, while Manzur gains among younger and progressive blocs through grassroots and ideological appeals. This dynamic, combined with substantial undecided voters and the short remaining window, leaves the exact margin of victory uncertain, positioning a range of outcomes—including scenarios outside listed Pappas bands—as the consensus view among traders.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
वॉल्यूम
$3,148समाप्ति तिथि
8 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The tightening race ahead of the September 8 primary drives market pricing, with recent University of New Hampshire polling showing Chris Pappas leading Karishma Manzur 47% to 34% among likely Democratic voters, a narrower gap than earlier surveys. Pappas benefits from broad establishment endorsements and moderate voter support, while Manzur gains among younger and progressive blocs through grassroots and ideological appeals. This dynamic, combined with substantial undecided voters and the short remaining window, leaves the exact margin of victory uncertain, positioning a range of outcomes—including scenarios outside listed Pappas bands—as the consensus view among traders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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