MN-05 remains a heavily Democratic district with a strong partisan lean, yet the margin-of-victory market shows balanced probabilities across outcome buckets because the August 11 primaries are occurring today and the identity of the nominees is not yet finalized. Multiple Democratic contenders, including incumbent Ilhan Omar, face off in the DFL primary while several Republicans compete on the other side; the winner’s profile, fundraising, and ability to consolidate support will shape general-election turnout and vote share. Historical results show large Democratic margins, but current trader pricing reflects uncertainty over national political conditions in the 2026 midterms, potential shifts in voter engagement in Minneapolis and surrounding areas, and any late momentum from the nominees. A stronger Republican nominee or lower Democratic turnout could compress the margin or increase upset odds, while a decisive primary winner who unifies the base would likely expand the typical advantage.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Democrat 35-45% 45%
Democrat 45-50% 43%
Democrat 75%+ 37%
Democrat 70-75% 37%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democrat 75%+
37%
Democrat 70-75%
37%
Democrat 65-70%
37%
Democrat 60-65%
37%
Democrat 55-60%
37%
Democrat 50-55%
37%
Democrat 45-50%
43%
Democrat 35-45%
45%
Democrat 0-35%
37%
Republican Wins
37%
Democrat 35-45% 45%
Democrat 45-50% 43%
Democrat 75%+ 37%
Democrat 70-75% 37%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democrat 75%+
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
Democrat 70-75%
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
Democrat 65-70%
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
Democrat 60-65%
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
Democrat 55-60%
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
Democrat 50-55%
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
Democrat 45-50%
$0 वॉल्यूम
43%
Democrat 35-45%
$0 वॉल्यूम
45%
Democrat 0-35%
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
Republican Wins
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
The 2026 MN-05 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 MN-05 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.MN-05 remains a heavily Democratic district with a strong partisan lean, yet the margin-of-victory market shows balanced probabilities across outcome buckets because the August 11 primaries are occurring today and the identity of the nominees is not yet finalized. Multiple Democratic contenders, including incumbent Ilhan Omar, face off in the DFL primary while several Republicans compete on the other side; the winner’s profile, fundraising, and ability to consolidate support will shape general-election turnout and vote share. Historical results show large Democratic margins, but current trader pricing reflects uncertainty over national political conditions in the 2026 midterms, potential shifts in voter engagement in Minneapolis and surrounding areas, and any late momentum from the nominees. A stronger Republican nominee or lower Democratic turnout could compress the margin or increase upset odds, while a decisive primary winner who unifies the base would likely expand the typical advantage.
The 2026 MN-05 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 MN-05 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 MN-05 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 MN-05 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 MN-05 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.MN-05 remains a heavily Democratic district with a strong partisan lean, yet the margin-of-victory market shows balanced probabilities across outcome buckets because the August 11 primaries are occurring today and the identity of the nominees is not yet finalized. Multiple Democratic contenders, including incumbent Ilhan Omar, face off in the DFL primary while several Republicans compete on the other side; the winner’s profile, fundraising, and ability to consolidate support will shape general-election turnout and vote share. Historical results show large Democratic margins, but current trader pricing reflects uncertainty over national political conditions in the 2026 midterms, potential shifts in voter engagement in Minneapolis and surrounding areas, and any late momentum from the nominees. A stronger Republican nominee or lower Democratic turnout could compress the margin or increase upset odds, while a decisive primary winner who unifies the base would likely expand the typical advantage.
The 2026 MN-05 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 MN-05 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 MN-05 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...MN-05 remains a heavily Democratic district with a strong partisan lean, yet the margin-of-victory market shows balanced probabilities across outcome buckets because the August 11 primaries are occurring today and the identity of the nominees is not yet finalized. Multiple Democratic contenders, including incumbent Ilhan Omar, face off in the DFL primary while several Republicans compete on the other side; the winner’s profile, fundraising, and ability to consolidate support will shape general-election turnout and vote share. Historical results show large Democratic margins, but current trader pricing reflects uncertainty over national political conditions in the 2026 midterms, potential shifts in voter engagement in Minneapolis and surrounding areas, and any late momentum from the nominees. A stronger Republican nominee or lower Democratic turnout could compress the margin or increase upset odds, while a decisive primary winner who unifies the base would likely expand the typical advantage.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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