Wang Chung-ming, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate of Lienchiang County since late 2022, holds an 80.5% implied probability in the election market as traders assess his established position ahead of the November 2026 local elections. His 2022 victory over intra-party rival Tsao Erh-yuan and other contenders provides a base-rate advantage in this small offshore constituency, reinforced by recent KMT party mobilization of magistrate candidates at the July 2026 national convention. Tsao Erh-yuan at 8.5% and Tsao Erh-chang at 3.6% reflect limited visible momentum for alternative KMT-aligned bids or independents, with the broader field of listed candidates showing no decisive polling shifts or endorsements that would alter the current trader consensus. The race remains subject to standard local factors such as turnout among eligible voters and any late nomination developments before the general ballot.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयावांग चुंग-मिंग 81%
त्साओ एर्ह-युआन 10%
त्साओ एर-चांग 3.7%
नया
नया
30 जून, 2027
वांग चुंग-मिंग
81%
त्साओ एर्ह-युआन
10%
त्साओ एर-चांग
4%
वांग चुंग-मिंग 81%
त्साओ एर्ह-युआन 10%
त्साओ एर-चांग 3.7%
नया
नया
30 जून, 2027
वांग चुंग-मिंग
$2,008 वॉल्यूम
81%
त्साओ एर्ह-युआन
$621 वॉल्यूम
10%
त्साओ एर-चांग
$724 वॉल्यूम
4%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Chung-ming, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate of Lienchiang County since late 2022, holds an 80.5% implied probability in the election market as traders assess his established position ahead of the November 2026 local elections. His 2022 victory over intra-party rival Tsao Erh-yuan and other contenders provides a base-rate advantage in this small offshore constituency, reinforced by recent KMT party mobilization of magistrate candidates at the July 2026 national convention. Tsao Erh-yuan at 8.5% and Tsao Erh-chang at 3.6% reflect limited visible momentum for alternative KMT-aligned bids or independents, with the broader field of listed candidates showing no decisive polling shifts or endorsements that would alter the current trader consensus. The race remains subject to standard local factors such as turnout among eligible voters and any late nomination developments before the general ballot.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,353समाप्ति तिथि
28 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Chung-ming, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate of Lienchiang County since late 2022, holds an 80.5% implied probability in the election market as traders assess his established position ahead of the November 2026 local elections. His 2022 victory over intra-party rival Tsao Erh-yuan and other contenders provides a base-rate advantage in this small offshore constituency, reinforced by recent KMT party mobilization of magistrate candidates at the July 2026 national convention. Tsao Erh-yuan at 8.5% and Tsao Erh-chang at 3.6% reflect limited visible momentum for alternative KMT-aligned bids or independents, with the broader field of listed candidates showing no decisive polling shifts or endorsements that would alter the current trader consensus. The race remains subject to standard local factors such as turnout among eligible voters and any late nomination developments before the general ballot.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
वॉल्यूम
$3,353समाप्ति तिथि
28 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wang Chung-ming, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate of Lienchiang County since late 2022, holds an 80.5% implied probability in the election market as traders assess his established position ahead of the November 2026 local elections. His 2022 victory over intra-party rival Tsao Erh-yuan and other contenders provides a base-rate advantage in this small offshore constituency, reinforced by recent KMT party mobilization of magistrate candidates at the July 2026 national convention. Tsao Erh-yuan at 8.5% and Tsao Erh-chang at 3.6% reflect limited visible momentum for alternative KMT-aligned bids or independents, with the broader field of listed candidates showing no decisive polling shifts or endorsements that would alter the current trader consensus. The race remains subject to standard local factors such as turnout among eligible voters and any late nomination developments before the general ballot.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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