The recall referendum that ousted Civic Coalition mayor Aleksander Miszalski on 24 May has produced a fragmented field for the 27 September first-round vote, with candidates including independents such as Łukasz Gibała, party-backed contenders from KO, PiS and Confederation, and several lower-profile entrants. This breadth, combined with Poland’s two-round system, has kept implied probabilities tightly clustered as no single name has consolidated broad support ahead of the campaign’s intensification. Recent candidate registrations and early positioning have not yet produced decisive polling separation, leaving trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over turnout patterns, potential runoff pairings, and last-minute alignments among right-leaning or centrist voters.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयालुकाज वांतुख 32%
मरियाना श्राइबर 32%
लुकाश गिबाला 32%
दरिया गोसेक-पोपियोलेक 32%
लुकाज वांतुख
32%
मरियाना श्राइबर
32%
लुकाश गिबाला
32%
दरिया गोसेक-पोपियोलेक
32%
मिखाल ड्रेव्निक्की
32%
मोनिका पियात्कोव्स्का
32%
बार्तोज़ बोचेंचक
32%
रफाल कोमारेविक्ज़
32%
मिखाउ क्लिमेक
7%
अलेक्ज़ांद्रा ओव्का
7%
जन हॉफमैन
7%
मारियन बानस
7%
पावेल श्लिज
7%
राफाल सोनिक
7%
स्वावोमिर पिएत्रजिक
7%
ग्राज़ीना जोफिया श्वियात
7%
मार्ता राटुज़िंस्का
7%
लुकाज वांतुख 32%
मरियाना श्राइबर 32%
लुकाश गिबाला 32%
दरिया गोसेक-पोपियोलेक 32%
लुकाज वांतुख
32%
मरियाना श्राइबर
32%
लुकाश गिबाला
32%
दरिया गोसेक-पोपियोलेक
32%
मिखाल ड्रेव्निक्की
32%
मोनिका पियात्कोव्स्का
32%
बार्तोज़ बोचेंचक
32%
रफाल कोमारेविक्ज़
32%
मिखाउ क्लिमेक
7%
अलेक्ज़ांद्रा ओव्का
7%
जन हॉफमैन
7%
मारियन बानस
7%
पावेल श्लिज
7%
राफाल सोनिक
7%
स्वावोमिर पिएत्रजिक
7%
ग्राज़ीना जोफिया श्वियात
7%
मार्ता राटुज़िंस्का
7%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The recall referendum that ousted Civic Coalition mayor Aleksander Miszalski on 24 May has produced a fragmented field for the 27 September first-round vote, with candidates including independents such as Łukasz Gibała, party-backed contenders from KO, PiS and Confederation, and several lower-profile entrants. This breadth, combined with Poland’s two-round system, has kept implied probabilities tightly clustered as no single name has consolidated broad support ahead of the campaign’s intensification. Recent candidate registrations and early positioning have not yet produced decisive polling separation, leaving trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over turnout patterns, potential runoff pairings, and last-minute alignments among right-leaning or centrist voters.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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