**Iran's supreme leadership underwent a rapid transition following the February 28, 2026, assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike amid escalating conflict.** The Assembly of Experts convened in early March, forming an interim three-member council before unanimously selecting Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9. This marks only the second such succession since 1979. Trader pricing on timing markets reflects ongoing uncertainty driven by post-war domestic protests, economic strain, factional tensions within the clerical and IRGC establishments, and external diplomatic or military pressures. Key variables include the durability of the new leadership amid sanctions, potential Assembly of Experts reviews, and any shifts in regional alliances or internal stability through 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$21,888,007 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
31 अगस्त
5%
30 सितंबर
11%
31 दिसंबर
23%
30 जून, 2027
32%
$21,888,007 वॉल्यूम
31 अगस्त
$370,624 वॉल्यूम
5%
30 सितंबर
$211,792 वॉल्यूम
11%
31 दिसंबर
$3,597,101 वॉल्यूम
23%
30 जून, 2027
$162,114 वॉल्यूम
32%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Iran's supreme leadership underwent a rapid transition following the February 28, 2026, assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike amid escalating conflict.** The Assembly of Experts convened in early March, forming an interim three-member council before unanimously selecting Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9. This marks only the second such succession since 1979. Trader pricing on timing markets reflects ongoing uncertainty driven by post-war domestic protests, economic strain, factional tensions within the clerical and IRGC establishments, and external diplomatic or military pressures. Key variables include the durability of the new leadership amid sanctions, potential Assembly of Experts reviews, and any shifts in regional alliances or internal stability through 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,888,007समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Iran's supreme leadership underwent a rapid transition following the February 28, 2026, assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike amid escalating conflict.** The Assembly of Experts convened in early March, forming an interim three-member council before unanimously selecting Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9. This marks only the second such succession since 1979. Trader pricing on timing markets reflects ongoing uncertainty driven by post-war domestic protests, economic strain, factional tensions within the clerical and IRGC establishments, and external diplomatic or military pressures. Key variables include the durability of the new leadership amid sanctions, potential Assembly of Experts reviews, and any shifts in regional alliances or internal stability through 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$21,888,007समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Iran's supreme leadership underwent a rapid transition following the February 28, 2026, assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike amid escalating conflict.** The Assembly of Experts convened in early March, forming an interim three-member council before unanimously selecting Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9. This marks only the second such succession since 1979. Trader pricing on timing markets reflects ongoing uncertainty driven by post-war domestic protests, economic strain, factional tensions within the clerical and IRGC establishments, and external diplomatic or military pressures. Key variables include the durability of the new leadership amid sanctions, potential Assembly of Experts reviews, and any shifts in regional alliances or internal stability through 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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