Mojtaba Khamenei’s position as Supreme Leader, secured through the Assembly of Experts’ March 2026 selection following Ali Khamenei’s February assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes, underpins trader consensus on continuity through year-end. The wartime context and Mojtaba’s IRGC ties facilitated rapid consolidation despite the regime’s historical resistance to hereditary succession. Limited public appearances and reports of injuries from the attack have raised health questions without altering institutional backing or prompting formal challenges. Other listed figures lack comparable elite consensus or procedural pathways in the current Assembly framework. Upcoming diplomatic or military developments could still introduce volatility before December 31.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 के अंत में ईरान के नेता?
2026 के अंत में ईरान के नेता?
मोज़तबा खामनेई 77.6%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं 7.8%
अलिरेज़ा अराफ़ी 4.3%
रज़ा पहलवी 3.4%
$37,392,360 वॉल्यूम
$37,392,360 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
मोज़तबा खामनेई
78%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं
8%
अलिरेज़ा अराफ़ी
4%
रज़ा पहलवी
3%
मोहम्मद-बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ
1%
अहमद वाहिदी
1%
मसूद पजेश्कियान
1%
अब्बास अराक़ची
1%
हसन खोमेनी
<1%
हसन रूहानी
<1%
मोहम्मद मिरबाकिरी
<1%
सादेग लारीजानी
<1%
मोहम्मद खातामी
<1%
हसन शरियतमदारी
<1%
मरीयम रजवी
<1%
मसूद रजवी
<1%
सैयद हुसैन मौसवीयन
<1%
रज़ा पीरज़ादेह
<1%
नविद शोमाली
<1%
मुस्तफा हिजरी
<1%
अली मुतहरी
<1%
घोलाम-अली हद्दाद-अदेल
<1%
मुस्तफा पूर्मोहम्मदी
<1%
सादेग महसूली
<1%
सईद जल्लीली
<1%
महमूद अहमदीनेजाद
<1%
मोसेन अराकी
<1%
नासिर होसेनी
<1%
अहमद हुसैनी खोरासानी
<1%
अली असगर हेज़ाज़ी
<1%
मोज़तबा खामनेई 77.6%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं 7.8%
अलिरेज़ा अराफ़ी 4.3%
रज़ा पहलवी 3.4%
$37,392,360 वॉल्यूम
$37,392,360 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
मोज़तबा खामनेई
$5,383,467 वॉल्यूम
78%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं
$1,127,275 वॉल्यूम
8%
अलिरेज़ा अराफ़ी
$2,297,990 वॉल्यूम
4%
रज़ा पहलवी
$646,405 वॉल्यूम
3%
मोहम्मद-बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ
$896,353 वॉल्यूम
1%
अहमद वाहिदी
$749,631 वॉल्यूम
1%
मसूद पजेश्कियान
$993,424 वॉल्यूम
1%
अब्बास अराक़ची
$824,453 वॉल्यूम
1%
हसन खोमेनी
$1,404,608 वॉल्यूम
<1%
हसन रूहानी
$923,568 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मोहम्मद मिरबाकिरी
$428,962 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सादेग लारीजानी
$522,276 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मोहम्मद खातामी
$5,082,962 वॉल्यूम
<1%
हसन शरियतमदारी
$3,132,013 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मरीयम रजवी
$795,782 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मसूद रजवी
$388,757 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सैयद हुसैन मौसवीयन
$3,674,200 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रज़ा पीरज़ादेह
$133,851 वॉल्यूम
<1%
नविद शोमाली
$200,597 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मुस्तफा हिजरी
$188,412 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अली मुतहरी
$826,715 वॉल्यूम
<1%
घोलाम-अली हद्दाद-अदेल
$420,178 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मुस्तफा पूर्मोहम्मदी
$3,335,357 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सादेग महसूली
$229,699 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सईद जल्लीली
$375,391 वॉल्यूम
<1%
महमूद अहमदीनेजाद
$1,028,256 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मोसेन अराकी
$272,318 वॉल्यूम
<1%
नासिर होसेनी
$245,362 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अहमद हुसैनी खोरासानी
$295,517 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अली असगर हेज़ाज़ी
$331,718 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Mojtaba Khamenei’s position as Supreme Leader, secured through the Assembly of Experts’ March 2026 selection following Ali Khamenei’s February assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes, underpins trader consensus on continuity through year-end. The wartime context and Mojtaba’s IRGC ties facilitated rapid consolidation despite the regime’s historical resistance to hereditary succession. Limited public appearances and reports of injuries from the attack have raised health questions without altering institutional backing or prompting formal challenges. Other listed figures lack comparable elite consensus or procedural pathways in the current Assembly framework. Upcoming diplomatic or military developments could still introduce volatility before December 31.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 28, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$37,392,360समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 28, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Mojtaba Khamenei’s position as Supreme Leader, secured through the Assembly of Experts’ March 2026 selection following Ali Khamenei’s February assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes, underpins trader consensus on continuity through year-end. The wartime context and Mojtaba’s IRGC ties facilitated rapid consolidation despite the regime’s historical resistance to hereditary succession. Limited public appearances and reports of injuries from the attack have raised health questions without altering institutional backing or prompting formal challenges. Other listed figures lack comparable elite consensus or procedural pathways in the current Assembly framework. Upcoming diplomatic or military developments could still introduce volatility before December 31.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
वॉल्यूम
$37,392,360समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 28, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mojtaba Khamenei’s position as Supreme Leader, secured through the Assembly of Experts’ March 2026 selection following Ali Khamenei’s February assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes, underpins trader consensus on continuity through year-end. The wartime context and Mojtaba’s IRGC ties facilitated rapid consolidation despite the regime’s historical resistance to hereditary succession. Limited public appearances and reports of injuries from the attack have raised health questions without altering institutional backing or prompting formal challenges. Other listed figures lack comparable elite consensus or procedural pathways in the current Assembly framework. Upcoming diplomatic or military developments could still introduce volatility before December 31.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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