**Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations under the June 2026 memorandum of understanding have highlighted deep divisions over uranium enrichment limits, with Washington pressing for long-term suspension or cessation alongside stockpile down-blending under IAEA supervision, while Tehran maintains its position on the right to enrich and resists expansive verification measures.** Strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in 2025 and 2026 damaged facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Esfahan, reducing active enrichment capacity and leaving a substantial stockpile of highly enriched uranium whose location and status remain partially unverified due to restricted IAEA access. Technical talks established working groups on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and oversight, but disputes persist over inspection scope, timelines for any final agreement, and whether enrichment infrastructure would be permanently constrained. These factors sustain trader consensus that a binding commitment to end enrichment by year-end remains improbable absent major concessions from either side.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
14% संभावना
$1,671,213 वॉल्यूम
$1,671,213 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
हाँ
14% संभावना
$1,671,213 वॉल्यूम
$1,671,213 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. **Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations under the June 2026 memorandum of understanding have highlighted deep divisions over uranium enrichment limits, with Washington pressing for long-term suspension or cessation alongside stockpile down-blending under IAEA supervision, while Tehran maintains its position on the right to enrich and resists expansive verification measures.**
Strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in 2025 and 2026 damaged facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Esfahan, reducing active enrichment capacity and leaving a substantial stockpile of highly enriched uranium whose location and status remain partially unverified due to restricted IAEA access. Technical talks established working groups on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and oversight, but disputes persist over inspection scope, timelines for any final agreement, and whether enrichment infrastructure would be permanently constrained. These factors sustain trader consensus that a binding commitment to end enrichment by year-end remains improbable absent major concessions from either side.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,671,213समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. **Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations under the June 2026 memorandum of understanding have highlighted deep divisions over uranium enrichment limits, with Washington pressing for long-term suspension or cessation alongside stockpile down-blending under IAEA supervision, while Tehran maintains its position on the right to enrich and resists expansive verification measures.**
Strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in 2025 and 2026 damaged facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Esfahan, reducing active enrichment capacity and leaving a substantial stockpile of highly enriched uranium whose location and status remain partially unverified due to restricted IAEA access. Technical talks established working groups on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and oversight, but disputes persist over inspection scope, timelines for any final agreement, and whether enrichment infrastructure would be permanently constrained. These factors sustain trader consensus that a binding commitment to end enrichment by year-end remains improbable absent major concessions from either side.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,671,213समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations under the June 2026 memorandum of understanding have highlighted deep divisions over uranium enrichment limits, with Washington pressing for long-term suspension or cessation alongside stockpile down-blending under IAEA supervision, while Tehran maintains its position on the right to enrich and resists expansive verification measures.** Strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in 2025 and 2026 damaged facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Esfahan, reducing active enrichment capacity and leaving a substantial stockpile of highly enriched uranium whose location and status remain partially unverified due to restricted IAEA access. Technical talks established working groups on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and oversight, but disputes persist over inspection scope, timelines for any final agreement, and whether enrichment infrastructure would be permanently constrained. These factors sustain trader consensus that a binding commitment to end enrichment by year-end remains improbable absent major concessions from either side.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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