Illinois's 3rd congressional district features a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez secured the nomination after winning her primary and previously captured 67 percent of the general-election vote in 2024. Republican nominee Angel Oakley advanced unopposed in her primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district encompassing strongly Democratic Chicago neighborhoods and suburban areas. Nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party a 96.4 percent implied probability. A sustained national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain improbable given the district's established voting patterns and the absence of competitive indicators in the current cycle.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIL -03 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
IL -03 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$46,619 वॉल्यूम
$46,619 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
96%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
3%
$46,619 वॉल्यूम
$46,619 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$23,833 वॉल्यूम
96%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$22,785 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 3rd congressional district features a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez secured the nomination after winning her primary and previously captured 67 percent of the general-election vote in 2024. Republican nominee Angel Oakley advanced unopposed in her primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district encompassing strongly Democratic Chicago neighborhoods and suburban areas. Nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party a 96.4 percent implied probability. A sustained national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain improbable given the district's established voting patterns and the absence of competitive indicators in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$46,619समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 3rd congressional district features a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez secured the nomination after winning her primary and previously captured 67 percent of the general-election vote in 2024. Republican nominee Angel Oakley advanced unopposed in her primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district encompassing strongly Democratic Chicago neighborhoods and suburban areas. Nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party a 96.4 percent implied probability. A sustained national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain improbable given the district's established voting patterns and the absence of competitive indicators in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$46,619समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 3rd congressional district features a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez secured the nomination after winning her primary and previously captured 67 percent of the general-election vote in 2024. Republican nominee Angel Oakley advanced unopposed in her primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district encompassing strongly Democratic Chicago neighborhoods and suburban areas. Nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party a 96.4 percent implied probability. A sustained national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain improbable given the district's established voting patterns and the absence of competitive indicators in the current cycle.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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