Democratic Rep. Adam Gray, who flipped the seat in 2024 by under 200 votes, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln. California’s Proposition 50 redistricting, approved in 2025, shifted the district’s boundaries to include more Democratic-leaning areas such as parts of Stockton, improving the partisan lean and giving Gray an incumbency advantage in a now safer environment. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean Democratic, with the general election set for November 2026. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89.5% implied probability over the Republican at 10.5%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-13 House Election Winner
CA-13 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
11%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,745 वॉल्यूम
90%
Republican Party
$3,221 वॉल्यूम
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Adam Gray, who flipped the seat in 2024 by under 200 votes, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln. California’s Proposition 50 redistricting, approved in 2025, shifted the district’s boundaries to include more Democratic-leaning areas such as parts of Stockton, improving the partisan lean and giving Gray an incumbency advantage in a now safer environment. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean Democratic, with the general election set for November 2026. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89.5% implied probability over the Republican at 10.5%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,966समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Adam Gray, who flipped the seat in 2024 by under 200 votes, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln. California’s Proposition 50 redistricting, approved in 2025, shifted the district’s boundaries to include more Democratic-leaning areas such as parts of Stockton, improving the partisan lean and giving Gray an incumbency advantage in a now safer environment. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean Democratic, with the general election set for November 2026. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89.5% implied probability over the Republican at 10.5%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$6,966समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Rep. Adam Gray, who flipped the seat in 2024 by under 200 votes, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln. California’s Proposition 50 redistricting, approved in 2025, shifted the district’s boundaries to include more Democratic-leaning areas such as parts of Stockton, improving the partisan lean and giving Gray an incumbency advantage in a now safer environment. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean Democratic, with the general election set for November 2026. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89.5% implied probability over the Republican at 10.5%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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