Recent hawkish communications from Bank of Japan officials, combined with elevated producer price inflation at 7.6% year-over-year in August and persistent upside risks from yen weakness and energy costs, have reinforced market-implied odds heavily favoring no change at the October 30 meeting. With the policy rate already at 1.00% after the June adjustment and a September 17-18 decision widely expected to deliver a 25 basis point hike, traders appear to price in a pause thereafter to assess transmission effects on underlying inflation near the 2% target and financial conditions. This consensus aligns with gradual normalization expectations, though incoming CPI releases and yen movements could still influence the board's assessment of price pass-through and wage trends ahead of the October statement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNo change 87%
25 bps increase 10%
50+ bps increase 1.4%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$87,186 वॉल्यूम
$87,186 वॉल्यूम
29 अक्टू, 2026
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
87%
25 bps increase
10%
50+ bps increase
1%
No change 87%
25 bps increase 10%
50+ bps increase 1.4%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$87,186 वॉल्यूम
$87,186 वॉल्यूम
29 अक्टू, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$3,895 वॉल्यूम
1%
25 bps decrease
$7,220 वॉल्यूम
1%
No change
$33,251 वॉल्यूम
87%
25 bps increase
$32,455 वॉल्यूम
10%
50+ bps increase
$10,363 वॉल्यूम
1%
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent hawkish communications from Bank of Japan officials, combined with elevated producer price inflation at 7.6% year-over-year in August and persistent upside risks from yen weakness and energy costs, have reinforced market-implied odds heavily favoring no change at the October 30 meeting. With the policy rate already at 1.00% after the June adjustment and a September 17-18 decision widely expected to deliver a 25 basis point hike, traders appear to price in a pause thereafter to assess transmission effects on underlying inflation near the 2% target and financial conditions. This consensus aligns with gradual normalization expectations, though incoming CPI releases and yen movements could still influence the board's assessment of price pass-through and wage trends ahead of the October statement.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$87,186समाप्ति तिथि
30 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent hawkish communications from Bank of Japan officials, combined with elevated producer price inflation at 7.6% year-over-year in August and persistent upside risks from yen weakness and energy costs, have reinforced market-implied odds heavily favoring no change at the October 30 meeting. With the policy rate already at 1.00% after the June adjustment and a September 17-18 decision widely expected to deliver a 25 basis point hike, traders appear to price in a pause thereafter to assess transmission effects on underlying inflation near the 2% target and financial conditions. This consensus aligns with gradual normalization expectations, though incoming CPI releases and yen movements could still influence the board's assessment of price pass-through and wage trends ahead of the October statement.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$87,186समाप्ति तिथि
30 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent hawkish communications from Bank of Japan officials, combined with elevated producer price inflation at 7.6% year-over-year in August and persistent upside risks from yen weakness and energy costs, have reinforced market-implied odds heavily favoring no change at the October 30 meeting. With the policy rate already at 1.00% after the June adjustment and a September 17-18 decision widely expected to deliver a 25 basis point hike, traders appear to price in a pause thereafter to assess transmission effects on underlying inflation near the 2% target and financial conditions. This consensus aligns with gradual normalization expectations, though incoming CPI releases and yen movements could still influence the board's assessment of price pass-through and wage trends ahead of the October statement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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