Louisiana State Treasurer John Fleming advanced to the June 27 Republican runoff for U.S. Senate after finishing second in the May 16 primary, behind Rep. Julia Letlow and ahead of incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy. Fleming has maintained an active campaign schedule, including public events and voter outreach on the eve of the primary, with no subsequent statements or reports indicating plans to withdraw. An earlier March allegation of a CDC job offer to exit the race did not lead to any departure. Traders assign an 84.5% implied probability that Fleming remains in the contest through the June 26 resolution window, reflecting his established position in the two-candidate runoff and absence of new developments that would alter that trajectory.