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Politique·Célébrités

Qui annoncera la course à la présidence avant 2027 ?

icon for Qui annoncera la course à la présidence avant 2027 ?
Politique·Célébrités

Qui annoncera la course à la présidence avant 2027 ?

$942,092 Vol.

31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$942,092 Vol.

Polymarket
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no major-party figures have formally launched 2028 presidential campaigns, consistent with historical patterns where announcements typically accelerate after the November midterms and into early 2027. Potential Democratic contenders such as Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, Andy Beshear, and Cory Booker appear in early polling and media speculation, while Gretchen Whitmer has ruled herself out; on the Republican side, figures like J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio lead informal discussions tied to their current roles. Minor exploratory steps include a May 2026 announcement by television writer Dan Greaney and reports of an exploratory committee by former Border Patrol official Gregory Bovino. The 2026 midterm results and any late-2026 positioning moves by governors or senators represent the next catalysts that could shift timelines for pre-2027 declarations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$942,092
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no major-party figures have formally launched 2028 presidential campaigns, consistent with historical patterns where announcements typically accelerate after the November midterms and into early 2027. Potential Democratic contenders such as Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, Andy Beshear, and Cory Booker appear in early polling and media speculation, while Gretchen Whitmer has ruled herself out; on the Republican side, figures like J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio lead informal discussions tied to their current roles. Minor exploratory steps include a May 2026 announcement by television writer Dan Greaney and reports of an exploratory committee by former Border Patrol official Gregory Bovino. The 2026 midterm results and any late-2026 positioning moves by governors or senators represent the next catalysts that could shift timelines for pre-2027 declarations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$942,092
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Connexes

icon for Elon Musk annoncera-t-il sa candidature à la présidence avant 2027 ?

Elon Musk annoncera-t-il sa candidature à la présidence avant 2027 ?

4%
Oui
icon for Gavin Newsom annoncera-t-il une candidature présidentielle d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

Gavin Newsom annoncera-t-il une candidature présidentielle d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

7%
Oui
icon for JD Vance remportera-t-il l'élection présidentielle américaine de 2028 ?

JD Vance remportera-t-il l'élection présidentielle américaine de 2028 ?

20%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Qui annoncera la course à la présidence avant 2027 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 71+ résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Rahm Emanuel » à 12%, suivi de « Pete Buttigieg » à 12%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 12¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 12% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qui annoncera la course à la présidence avant 2027 ? » a généré $942.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 19, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qui annoncera la course à la présidence avant 2027 ? », parcourez les 71+ résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qui annoncera la course à la présidence avant 2027 ? » est « Rahm Emanuel » à 12%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 12% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Pete Buttigieg » à 12%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qui annoncera la course à la présidence avant 2027 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.