The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7 by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan amid the 2026 Iran conflict and Houthi threats, established a collective-defense framework open to new members through formal accession. Trader probabilities reflect Egypt’s elevated position due to its existing coordination with the signatories via regional groupings and Turkish statements positioning Cairo as a likely early addition once legal reviews conclude. Iraq follows amid parallel diplomatic outreach, while lower odds for states such as Qatar, Jordan, or the UAE track more tentative expressions of interest and the September 10 Pakistani clarification that expansion remains off the immediate agenda pending internal consolidation. Recent Istanbul talks on institutional structures, alongside ongoing Red Sea security pressures, continue to shape assessments of accession timelines before the December 31 deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$55,601 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Égypte
15%
Jordanie
13%
Émirats arabes unis
12%
Koweït
11%
Bahreïn
10%
Qatar
10%
Somalie
9%
Soudan
9%
Maroc
9%
Oman
9%
Algérie
8%
Syrie
8%
Irak
7%
Yémen
7%
Iran
6%
Liban
2%
$55,601 Vol.
Égypte
$8,075 Vol.
15%
Jordanie
$1,187 Vol.
13%
Émirats arabes unis
$20,560 Vol.
12%
Koweït
$2,631 Vol.
11%
Bahreïn
$1,406 Vol.
10%
Qatar
$1,939 Vol.
10%
Somalie
$4,604 Vol.
9%
Soudan
$2,056 Vol.
9%
Maroc
$2,586 Vol.
9%
Oman
$1,213 Vol.
9%
Algérie
$66 Vol.
8%
Syrie
$2,680 Vol.
8%
Irak
$1,551 Vol.
7%
Yémen
$39 Vol.
7%
Iran
$2,399 Vol.
6%
Liban
$2,608 Vol.
2%
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7 by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan amid the 2026 Iran conflict and Houthi threats, established a collective-defense framework open to new members through formal accession. Trader probabilities reflect Egypt’s elevated position due to its existing coordination with the signatories via regional groupings and Turkish statements positioning Cairo as a likely early addition once legal reviews conclude. Iraq follows amid parallel diplomatic outreach, while lower odds for states such as Qatar, Jordan, or the UAE track more tentative expressions of interest and the September 10 Pakistani clarification that expansion remains off the immediate agenda pending internal consolidation. Recent Istanbul talks on institutional structures, alongside ongoing Red Sea security pressures, continue to shape assessments of accession timelines before the December 31 deadline.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Volume
$55,601Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7 by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan amid the 2026 Iran conflict and Houthi threats, established a collective-defense framework open to new members through formal accession. Trader probabilities reflect Egypt’s elevated position due to its existing coordination with the signatories via regional groupings and Turkish statements positioning Cairo as a likely early addition once legal reviews conclude. Iraq follows amid parallel diplomatic outreach, while lower odds for states such as Qatar, Jordan, or the UAE track more tentative expressions of interest and the September 10 Pakistani clarification that expansion remains off the immediate agenda pending internal consolidation. Recent Istanbul talks on institutional structures, alongside ongoing Red Sea security pressures, continue to shape assessments of accession timelines before the December 31 deadline.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$55,601Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7 by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan amid the 2026 Iran conflict and Houthi threats, established a collective-defense framework open to new members through formal accession. Trader probabilities reflect Egypt’s elevated position due to its existing coordination with the signatories via regional groupings and Turkish statements positioning Cairo as a likely early addition once legal reviews conclude. Iraq follows amid parallel diplomatic outreach, while lower odds for states such as Qatar, Jordan, or the UAE track more tentative expressions of interest and the September 10 Pakistani clarification that expansion remains off the immediate agenda pending internal consolidation. Recent Istanbul talks on institutional structures, alongside ongoing Red Sea security pressures, continue to shape assessments of accession timelines before the December 31 deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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