Strong pre-release tracking for the July 31 theatrical debut, with forecasts ranging from $180M–$250M domestic opening weekend, has fueled tight trader consensus across total gross bands by August 31. Multiple ranges from under $400M to $900M+ sit within 1% of each other because the film’s legs after its initial surge remain untested amid summer competition and variable audience retention for recent MCU entries. Historical Spider-Man performance, franchise brand strength, and early presale momentum support the even distribution, while the proximity to release leaves room for quick shifts once opening numbers and second-weekend holds clarify the trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" total brut national d'ici le 31 août ?
700 - 800 millions 48%
800 - 900 millions 26%
600 - 700 millions 18%
900M+ 10%
<400 millions
1%
400 - 500 millions
1%
500 - 600 millions
5%
600 - 700 millions
18%
700 - 800 millions
48%
800 - 900 millions
26%
900M+
10%
700 - 800 millions 48%
800 - 900 millions 26%
600 - 700 millions 18%
900M+ 10%
<400 millions
1%
400 - 500 millions
1%
500 - 600 millions
5%
600 - 700 millions
18%
700 - 800 millions
48%
800 - 900 millions
26%
900M+
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong pre-release tracking for the July 31 theatrical debut, with forecasts ranging from $180M–$250M domestic opening weekend, has fueled tight trader consensus across total gross bands by August 31. Multiple ranges from under $400M to $900M+ sit within 1% of each other because the film’s legs after its initial surge remain untested amid summer competition and variable audience retention for recent MCU entries. Historical Spider-Man performance, franchise brand strength, and early presale momentum support the even distribution, while the proximity to release leaves room for quick shifts once opening numbers and second-weekend holds clarify the trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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