Recent polls for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the SPD at 7–8.5 percent, aligning with the market's leading 7–9 percent bracket. Late surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap show the party holding steady or edging slightly higher in the final week, after earlier readings fluctuated between 5 and 9 percent amid AfD dominance and pressure on smaller coalition partners. The SPD's position reflects its role in the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP government, voter fragmentation favoring the AfD and Linke, and consistent polling near the five-percent threshold without major last-minute shifts. Trader consensus on the 7–9 percent range tracks these stable late-campaign figures, while lower or higher brackets price in residual uncertainty from undecided voters and turnout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour7-9 % 55%
5-7 % 32%
9 %+ 13.2%
<5 % 1.4%
$131,462 Vol.
$131,462 Vol.
6 sept. 2026
<5 %
1%
5-7 %
32%
7-9 %
55%
9 %+
13%
7-9 % 55%
5-7 % 32%
9 %+ 13.2%
<5 % 1.4%
$131,462 Vol.
$131,462 Vol.
6 sept. 2026
<5 %
$22,305 Vol.
1%
5-7 %
$38,126 Vol.
32%
7-9 %
$44,317 Vol.
55%
9 %+
$26,714 Vol.
13%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the SPD at 7–8.5 percent, aligning with the market's leading 7–9 percent bracket. Late surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap show the party holding steady or edging slightly higher in the final week, after earlier readings fluctuated between 5 and 9 percent amid AfD dominance and pressure on smaller coalition partners. The SPD's position reflects its role in the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP government, voter fragmentation favoring the AfD and Linke, and consistent polling near the five-percent threshold without major last-minute shifts. Trader consensus on the 7–9 percent range tracks these stable late-campaign figures, while lower or higher brackets price in residual uncertainty from undecided voters and turnout.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Volume
$131,462Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the SPD at 7–8.5 percent, aligning with the market's leading 7–9 percent bracket. Late surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap show the party holding steady or edging slightly higher in the final week, after earlier readings fluctuated between 5 and 9 percent amid AfD dominance and pressure on smaller coalition partners. The SPD's position reflects its role in the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP government, voter fragmentation favoring the AfD and Linke, and consistent polling near the five-percent threshold without major last-minute shifts. Trader consensus on the 7–9 percent range tracks these stable late-campaign figures, while lower or higher brackets price in residual uncertainty from undecided voters and turnout.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$131,462Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the SPD at 7–8.5 percent, aligning with the market's leading 7–9 percent bracket. Late surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap show the party holding steady or edging slightly higher in the final week, after earlier readings fluctuated between 5 and 9 percent amid AfD dominance and pressure on smaller coalition partners. The SPD's position reflects its role in the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP government, voter fragmentation favoring the AfD and Linke, and consistent polling near the five-percent threshold without major last-minute shifts. Trader consensus on the 7–9 percent range tracks these stable late-campaign figures, while lower or higher brackets price in residual uncertainty from undecided voters and turnout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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