Recent polls for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the BSW at 3–4 percent, aligning with the market’s leading 3–5 percent outcome. Consistent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap show the party hovering below the 5 percent threshold amid stable but modest support. Internal party conflicts, including major defections from its Thuringia Landtag group days before the vote, have drawn attention to cohesion issues. The BSW’s platform emphasizing peace policy, social spending, and skepticism toward established coalitions has not translated into stronger gains in this state, where the AfD leads and other smaller parties also struggle at the hurdle. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the limited recent momentum for crossing into parliament.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection parlementaire en Saxe-Anhalt : part de vote de BSW ?
Élection parlementaire en Saxe-Anhalt : part de vote de BSW ?
3-5 % 67%
<3 % 23%
5-7 % 11%
7 %+ <1%
$18,647 Vol.
$18,647 Vol.
6 sept. 2026
<3 %
23%
3-5 %
67%
5-7 %
11%
7 %+
1%
3-5 % 67%
<3 % 23%
5-7 % 11%
7 %+ <1%
$18,647 Vol.
$18,647 Vol.
6 sept. 2026
<3 %
$11,102 Vol.
23%
3-5 %
$2,754 Vol.
67%
5-7 %
$3,143 Vol.
11%
7 %+
$1,648 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the BSW at 3–4 percent, aligning with the market’s leading 3–5 percent outcome. Consistent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap show the party hovering below the 5 percent threshold amid stable but modest support. Internal party conflicts, including major defections from its Thuringia Landtag group days before the vote, have drawn attention to cohesion issues. The BSW’s platform emphasizing peace policy, social spending, and skepticism toward established coalitions has not translated into stronger gains in this state, where the AfD leads and other smaller parties also struggle at the hurdle. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the limited recent momentum for crossing into parliament.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$18,647Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the BSW at 3–4 percent, aligning with the market’s leading 3–5 percent outcome. Consistent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap show the party hovering below the 5 percent threshold amid stable but modest support. Internal party conflicts, including major defections from its Thuringia Landtag group days before the vote, have drawn attention to cohesion issues. The BSW’s platform emphasizing peace policy, social spending, and skepticism toward established coalitions has not translated into stronger gains in this state, where the AfD leads and other smaller parties also struggle at the hurdle. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the limited recent momentum for crossing into parliament.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$18,647Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the BSW at 3–4 percent, aligning with the market’s leading 3–5 percent outcome. Consistent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap show the party hovering below the 5 percent threshold amid stable but modest support. Internal party conflicts, including major defections from its Thuringia Landtag group days before the vote, have drawn attention to cohesion issues. The BSW’s platform emphasizing peace policy, social spending, and skepticism toward established coalitions has not translated into stronger gains in this state, where the AfD leads and other smaller parties also struggle at the hurdle. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the limited recent momentum for crossing into parliament.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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