The entrenched low-interception environment in the modern NFL, shaped by two-high safety coverages, improved quarterback decision-making, and emphasis on ball security, forms the core driver behind the 54.5% implied probability on "No." League-wide interception totals have trended downward for years, with the 2025 leader recording just seven picks and no defender reaching double digits since Trevon Diggs' 11 in 2021. This creates competitive balance because individual variance, favorable defensive schemes, or a cornerback facing turnover-prone offenses could still produce an outlier 15-interception campaign. Key tipping factors include any shift in offensive aggressiveness, rule changes affecting pass interference or holding, or the emergence of a dominant ball-hawking defender in a high-volume passing matchup.