**Mixed critical reception and the notoriously soft Labor Day weekend window are anchoring trader expectations for Onslaught’s domestic opening at the low end.** Adam Wingard’s A24 action-horror film, released September 4 with a roughly $15 million budget and starring Adria Arjona, earned mixed reviews (54% on Rotten Tomatoes, 60 on Metacritic), with critics noting stylish gore and action but criticizing a thin story. Historical patterns show Labor Day frames rarely produce strong openings for mid-tier genre titles, and early tracking plus specialty previews point to limited mainstream appeal. The market’s heavy weighting toward 2-3 million (55%) or under 2 million (44.5%) reflects this consensus, with negligible probability assigned to anything above 3 million. Final numbers will hinge on audience turnout through Sunday and word-of-mouth momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBox-office d'ouverture du week-end « Onslaught »
Box-office d'ouverture du week-end « Onslaught »
2-3 M 56%
<2M 44%
3-4 M 1.0%
5-6 millions <1%
$16,710 Vol.
$16,710 Vol.
6 sept. 2026
<2M
44%
2-3 M
56%
3-4 M
1%
4-5 millions
<1%
5-6 millions
<1%
6M+
<1%
2-3 M 56%
<2M 44%
3-4 M 1.0%
5-6 millions <1%
$16,710 Vol.
$16,710 Vol.
6 sept. 2026
<2M
$4,500 Vol.
44%
2-3 M
$4,471 Vol.
56%
3-4 M
$3,518 Vol.
1%
4-5 millions
$1,903 Vol.
<1%
5-6 millions
$1,444 Vol.
<1%
6M+
$874 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Mixed critical reception and the notoriously soft Labor Day weekend window are anchoring trader expectations for Onslaught’s domestic opening at the low end.** Adam Wingard’s A24 action-horror film, released September 4 with a roughly $15 million budget and starring Adria Arjona, earned mixed reviews (54% on Rotten Tomatoes, 60 on Metacritic), with critics noting stylish gore and action but criticizing a thin story. Historical patterns show Labor Day frames rarely produce strong openings for mid-tier genre titles, and early tracking plus specialty previews point to limited mainstream appeal. The market’s heavy weighting toward 2-3 million (55%) or under 2 million (44.5%) reflects this consensus, with negligible probability assigned to anything above 3 million. Final numbers will hinge on audience turnout through Sunday and word-of-mouth momentum.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$16,710Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Mixed critical reception and the notoriously soft Labor Day weekend window are anchoring trader expectations for Onslaught’s domestic opening at the low end.** Adam Wingard’s A24 action-horror film, released September 4 with a roughly $15 million budget and starring Adria Arjona, earned mixed reviews (54% on Rotten Tomatoes, 60 on Metacritic), with critics noting stylish gore and action but criticizing a thin story. Historical patterns show Labor Day frames rarely produce strong openings for mid-tier genre titles, and early tracking plus specialty previews point to limited mainstream appeal. The market’s heavy weighting toward 2-3 million (55%) or under 2 million (44.5%) reflects this consensus, with negligible probability assigned to anything above 3 million. Final numbers will hinge on audience turnout through Sunday and word-of-mouth momentum.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$16,710Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Mixed critical reception and the notoriously soft Labor Day weekend window are anchoring trader expectations for Onslaught’s domestic opening at the low end.** Adam Wingard’s A24 action-horror film, released September 4 with a roughly $15 million budget and starring Adria Arjona, earned mixed reviews (54% on Rotten Tomatoes, 60 on Metacritic), with critics noting stylish gore and action but criticizing a thin story. Historical patterns show Labor Day frames rarely produce strong openings for mid-tier genre titles, and early tracking plus specialty previews point to limited mainstream appeal. The market’s heavy weighting toward 2-3 million (55%) or under 2 million (44.5%) reflects this consensus, with negligible probability assigned to anything above 3 million. Final numbers will hinge on audience turnout through Sunday and word-of-mouth momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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