Will Venable holds the clearest edge in the AL Manager of the Year market because the Chicago White Sox, coming off a franchise-worst 2025 campaign, sit atop the AL Central at roughly .500 through mid-August. That overachievement against steep preseason expectations has driven the 53.9% implied probability. Kevin Cash trails at 19.5% on the strength of the Rays’ consistent AL East contention and strong run differential, while A.J. Hinch (6.3%) and Joe Espada (4.7%) receive support tied to their clubs’ recent form and divisional positioning. Traders continue to price the award around the gap between projected and actual team performance rather than absolute win totals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWill Venable 56.9%
Kevin Cash 19.6%
A.J. Hinch 6.3%
Joe Espada 4.9%
$57,030 Vol.
$57,030 Vol.
Will Venable
57%
Kevin Cash
20%
A.J. Hinch
6%
Joe Espada
5%
Craig Albernaz
4%
John Schneider
3%
Dan Wilson
3%
Mark Kotsay
3%
Stephen Vogt
2%
Derek Shelton
2%
Skip Schumaker
1%
Alex Cora
1%
Aaron Boone
1%
Kurt Suzuki
1%
Matt Quatraro
<1%
Will Venable 56.9%
Kevin Cash 19.6%
A.J. Hinch 6.3%
Joe Espada 4.9%
$57,030 Vol.
$57,030 Vol.
Will Venable
57%
Kevin Cash
20%
A.J. Hinch
6%
Joe Espada
5%
Craig Albernaz
4%
John Schneider
3%
Dan Wilson
3%
Mark Kotsay
3%
Stephen Vogt
2%
Derek Shelton
2%
Skip Schumaker
1%
Alex Cora
1%
Aaron Boone
1%
Kurt Suzuki
1%
Matt Quatraro
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 26, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Will Venable holds the clearest edge in the AL Manager of the Year market because the Chicago White Sox, coming off a franchise-worst 2025 campaign, sit atop the AL Central at roughly .500 through mid-August. That overachievement against steep preseason expectations has driven the 53.9% implied probability. Kevin Cash trails at 19.5% on the strength of the Rays’ consistent AL East contention and strong run differential, while A.J. Hinch (6.3%) and Joe Espada (4.7%) receive support tied to their clubs’ recent form and divisional positioning. Traders continue to price the award around the gap between projected and actual team performance rather than absolute win totals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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