Recent polling from Real Time Big Data indicates a competitive contest for Mato Grosso’s two Senate seats on October 4, 2026, with voters choosing two names and Mauro Mendes (União Brasil) holding a narrow lead in first-preference and consolidated support while Janaina Riva (MDB) remains close behind on second-choice backing. Former governor Pedro Taques (PSB), incumbent-aligned Carlos Fávaro (PSD), José Medeiros (PL), and several other declared candidates continue to split preferences among distinct party bases and regional blocs. Mendes’s recent convention approval and name recognition as outgoing governor have kept him atop trader pricing near 50 percent for first place, yet the fragmented field and absence of a clear majority in surveys sustain tight probabilities across multiple contenders. Upcoming campaign events and further statewide surveys could widen or narrow these gaps ahead of the vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMauro Mendes 57%
Janaina Riva 25%
Beny Godoy 20%
Jose Medeiros 20%

Mauro Mendes
52%

Janaina Riva
25%

Beny Godoy
20%

Jose Medeiros
18%

Fávaro
21%

Pedro Taques
19%

Margareth Buzetti
14%

Galvan
7%

Professeur Nelson Ferreira
6%

Colonel Darwin
4%
Mauro Mendes 57%
Janaina Riva 25%
Beny Godoy 20%
Jose Medeiros 20%

Mauro Mendes
52%

Janaina Riva
25%

Beny Godoy
20%

Jose Medeiros
18%

Fávaro
21%

Pedro Taques
19%

Margareth Buzetti
14%

Galvan
7%

Professeur Nelson Ferreira
6%

Colonel Darwin
4%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Real Time Big Data indicates a competitive contest for Mato Grosso’s two Senate seats on October 4, 2026, with voters choosing two names and Mauro Mendes (União Brasil) holding a narrow lead in first-preference and consolidated support while Janaina Riva (MDB) remains close behind on second-choice backing. Former governor Pedro Taques (PSB), incumbent-aligned Carlos Fávaro (PSD), José Medeiros (PL), and several other declared candidates continue to split preferences among distinct party bases and regional blocs. Mendes’s recent convention approval and name recognition as outgoing governor have kept him atop trader pricing near 50 percent for first place, yet the fragmented field and absence of a clear majority in surveys sustain tight probabilities across multiple contenders. Upcoming campaign events and further statewide surveys could widen or narrow these gaps ahead of the vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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